News

USDA winter wheat estimate inches higher

The USDA has increased the 2019 winter wheat production estimate slightly from last month.

The new projection is 1.275 billion bushels, up less than 1% from May, but 8% above a year ago, with the average yield 0.2 bushels per acre higher on the month at 50.5 bushels, and harvested area at 25.214 million acres. In 2018, winter wheat totaled 1.184 billion bushels with an average yield of 47.9 bushels per acre and harvested area of 24.742 million acres.

By class, the USDA raised hard red winter by 2% from a month ago to 794.395 million bushels, but cut soft red winter by 2% to 258.302 million and lowered white winter by 1% to 221.754 million bushels. A year ago, the hard red winter crop was 662.249 million bushels with soft red winter at 285.558 million and white winter at a combined 236.132 million bushels.

The winter wheat harvest is underway, but slower than average, while the USDA’s crop condition rating is well above a year ago.

The USDA’s next set of production estimates is out July 11th.

Year-to-year comparisons for winter wheat production in Brownfield states:

Illinois: Winter Wheat: 36.4 million bushels, compared to 36.96 million in 2018; average yield of 65 bushels per acre, compared to 67 a month ago and 66 a year ago; harvested area of 560,000 acres, unchanged from last year

Indiana: Winter Wheat: 17.94 million bushels, compared to 18.46 million in 2018; average yield of 69 bushels per acre, compared to 73 a month ago and 71 a year ago; harvested area of 260,000 acres, unchanged from last year

Michigan: Winter Wheat: 38.48 million bushels, compared to 35.72 million in 2018; average yield of 74 bushels per acre, compared to 76 a month ago and a year ago; harvested area of 520,000 acres, compared to 470,000 last year

Missouri: Winter Wheat: 26.32 million bushels, compared to 30.68 million in 2018; average yield of 56 bushels per acre, compared to 61 a month ago and 59 a year ago; harvested area of 470,000 acres, compared to 520,000 last year

Nebraska: Winter Wheat: 50 million bushels, compared to 49.49 million in 2018; average yield of 50 bushels per acre, compared to 50 a month ago and 49 a year ago; harvested area of 1 million acres, compared to 1.01 million last year

Ohio: Winter Wheat: 26.46 million bushels, compared to 33.75 million in 2018; average yield of 63 bushels per acre, compared to 69 a month ago and 75 a year ago; harvested area of 420,000 acres, compared to 450,000 last year

South Dakota: Winter Wheat: 37.44 million bushels, compared to 31.68 million in 2018; average yield of 52 bushels per acre, compared to 54 a month ago and 48 a year ago; harvested area of 720,000 acres, compared to 660,000 last year

Wisconsin: Winter Wheat: 11.05 million bushels, compared to 14.2 million in 2018; average yield of 65 bushels per acre, compared to 71 both a month ago and a year ago; harvested area of 170,000 acres, compared to 200,000 last year