Soybeans, nearby corn up on commercials

Soybeans were higher on commercial and technical buying. Unknown destinations bought 138,000 tons of combined old and new crop U.S. beans and China picked up 120,000 tons of new crop. Out of the purchase by unknown, 18,000 tons is for 2012/13 delivery and 120,000 tons is for 2013/14. Fundamentally, the near term supply remains tight and there are continued shipping delays out of major ports in Brazil, from both rain delaying loading and labor issues. Soybean meal was up on spillover from beans and oil was mixed in consolidation trade.

Corn was mixed on old crop/new crop spread adjustments, with nearbys up on commercial buying and deferreds down on speculative selling. The trade does expect good planting progress on Monday, but there has been rain in some already very wet areas and there’s more in the forecast in some key growing areas. In any event, those numbers are out Monday at 4 PM Eastern/3 PM Central. Ethanol futures were higher. South Korea’s Corn Processing Industry Association bought 45,000 tons of food grade corn from South Africa.

The wheat was lower fund and technical selling. There was no new buying interest for the winter wheat pits, despite domestic and international weather concerns. Losses in Minneapolis were limited by the slow spring planting pace and good demand for high protein wheat. European wheat was lower on recent rainfall in the Black Sea region and Australia. In sell-buy-sell export activity, Japan is tendering for 37,000 tons of food wheat, 2,000 tons of malting barley, and 1,000 tons of food barley.

Cattle trade was slow to develop on Friday

USDA Mandatory reported cattle trading and demand was light in Kansas on Friday, with live sales .50 to 1.00 lower than last week at 125.00, a few at 125.50. Cattle traded on a limited basis in Nebraska and Iowa with a few cattle on a live basis trading from 125.00 to mostly 126.00. Dressed deals in Iowa and Nebraska from 200.00 to 202.00. The Texas Panhandle traded about 7,000 head on Thursday at 125.00, a 1.00 lower than last week.

Boxed beef cutout values were weak on select and firm on choice on light to moderate demand and offerings. Choice beef was up .74 at 209.51, and select was .40 lower at 192.31.

The weekly cattle kill at was at 652,000 head, 21,000 more than last week and 8,000 greater than last year. The last time the weekly slaughter total reached 652,000 head level, was August last year.

Live cattle contracts settled 30 to 117 points lower on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on Friday. Despite the ability to keep June cattle futures contained to narrow losses on Friday, the overall tone of the market weakened further through the session. The strong support in the dollar index and stock markets added to commodity market liquidation. Boxed beef prices were steady to weaker at midday and provided no support to the futures market. June settled .50 lower at 119.40, and August was down 1.17 at 118.55.

Feeder cattle settled 112 to 175 lower. Traders posted moderate to sharp losses as weakness through the livestock markets drew additional trade into the complex. May settled 1.12 lower at 133.90, and August was down 1.75 at 143.37.

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Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: May 17, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.52 and 3/4, up 11 and 1/4 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $14.48 and 1/2, up 21 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $425.10, up $10.20
Jul. soybean oil closed at 49.52, unchanged
Jul. wheat closed at $6.83 and 1/4, down 4 and 1/2 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $119.40, down 50 cents
Jun. lean hogs closed at $91.52, down $1.35
Jun. crude oil closed at $96.02, up 86 cents
Jul. cotton closed at 86.41, up 38 points
Jun. Class III milk closed at $18.36, down 9 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,364.90, down $22.20
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,354.40, up 121.18 points

Friday midday cash livestock markets

Cattle country is slow to start on Friday following light to moderate trade in Texas yesterday at 125.00 1.00 lower than the previous week. The rest of cattle country just saw a little scattered trade on Thursday. Significant trade volume could be delayed until after the release of the cattle on feed report is this afternoon. Asking prices are around 127.00 to 128.00 in the South and 205.00 in the North.

Boxed beef cutout values were near steady in the morning report with the choice up .18 at 208.95 and the select was .19 lower at 192.52.

Feeder cattle receipts at Missouri auctions this week totaled 32,692 head. Compared to last week, steer and heifer calves sold mostly steady although there were instances of 5.00 lower to 4.00 higher noted throughout the state. Yearling feeders sold mostly steady to 3.00 lower.  Feeder steers, medium and large 1 averaging 525 pounds averaged 158.78 per hundredweight, and 713 pound steers brought 139.15. 524 pound heifers averaged 141.17, and 722 pound heifers brought 120.20 per hundredweight.

Barrows and gilts in the Iowa/Minnesota direct trade opened .97 higher at 91.20 on a carcass basis, the West was up 1.41 also at 91.20 and the East was down .33 at 90.31. Missouri direct base carcass meat price is steady from 85.00 to 86.00. Terminal hogs are 1.00 lower to 2.00 higher from 58.00 to 64.00 live.

The pork carcass cutout value FOB plant is down .11 at 92.61 in the morning report on a negotiated basis.

The pork carcass value remains on fire, surging sharply higher on Thursday with both the rib and belly primal exploding by more than $6.

Commercials support soybeans

Soybeans were higher on commercial and technical buying. The nearby supply remains tight and shipments out of Brazil continue to be slow due to rain delaying loading, along with labor issues. Weekly export sales were within estimates with another strong week for shipments. Bean meal sales topped pre-report estimates and USDA reported a net cancellation on soybean oil. Soybean meal and oil were higher, following beans, with oil getting additional support from the firm cash basis.

Corn was lower on fund and technical selling. Rain coverage around the Midwest has generally been light, allowing for solid planting progress in many areas. There’s more rain in the forecast but amounts could be less than originally expected. Ethanol futures were mostly lower. South Korea’s Corn Processing Industry Association bought 55,000 tons of food grade corn from Brazil, bringing purchases of corn and wheat by South Korean feed and flour mills over the past 10 days to more than 600,000 tons.

The wheat complex was lower on technical and fund selling. Weekly export numbers were pretty much neutral to bearish with nothing really outstanding and no fresh news. However, you would think weather would be a bigger factor with dry conditions for the hard red winter crop and more rain ahead for the Northern Plains. European wheat was lower on spillover from Chicago. Bangladesh bought 50,000 tons of wheat from India and in sell-buy-sell trade, Japan is tendering for 120,000 tons of feed wheat and 200,000 tons of feed barley.

A few cattle trade in Texas on Thursday.

The cash cattle trade was quiet on Thursday afternoon following the development of light to moderate business in parts of Texas earlier in the day at 125.00, 1.00 lower than last week. It looks like significant trade volume will be delayed until sometime on Friday. Trading psychology seems to be torn between appreciating carcass value and struggling futures. Asking prices are around 127.00 to 128.00 in the South and 205.00 in the North. Bids are at 125.00 live and 198.00 to 200 dressed. The kill totaled 124,000 head, 5,000 greater than last week, but 4,000 smaller than a year ago.

Boxed beef cutout values were steady to firm on moderate demand and light offerings.  Choice beef was up .82 at 208.71, and select was .04 higher at 192.71.

Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle contracts settled 5 to 20 points lower. The trade went absolutely nowhere on Thursday bouncing back and forth in a narrow but mixed trading range. Traders’ main focus was the development of potentially steady to lower cash values while wholesale beef prices found additional strength. June settled .10 lower at 119.90, and August was .12 lower at 119.72.

Feeder cattle ended the session 5 to 17 points lower on light pressure throughout the market. Traders had looked for additional support from the live futures as weakness in the corn market was unable to draw buyers to the table. All nearby and deferred futures were stuck in a narrow range. May was down .05 at 135.02, and August was down .17 at 145.12.

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Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: May 16, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.41 and 1/2, down 9 and 1/4 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $14.27 and 1/2, up 14 and 3/4 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $414.90, up $4.40
Jul. soybean oil closed at 49.52, up 17 points
Jul. wheat closed at $6.87 and 3/4, down 6 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $119.90, down 10 cents
Jun. lean hogs closed at $92.87, up 95 cents
Jun. crude oil closed at $95.16, up 86 cents
Jul. cotton closed at 86.03, down 42 points
Jun. Class III milk closed at $18.45, up 34 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,386.90, down $9.30
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,233.22, down 42.47 points

Thursday midday cash livestock

USDA Mandatory is reporting a limited cattle trade in the Texas Panhandle on light demand. Compared to last week, early live sales are 1.00 lower at 125.00. Trading remains inactive in all other areas but packer interest is expected to improve as the day progresses. Asking prices are around 127.00 to 128.00 in the South and 205.00 in the North.

Boxed beef cutout values higher with the choice up 1.04 at 208.99, and select is .48 higher at 193.23.

Feeder cattle receipts at the Huss Platte Valley Auction in Nebraska totaled 2940 head on Wednesday. Compared to two weeks ago, steers and heifers trended steady to 5.00 lower. Demand was good for all classes in the offering from the buyers in the seats. 158 head of feeder steers averaging 835 pounds traded at 130.85 per hundredweight. 117 heifers weighing 821 brought 123.03.

Barrows and gilts in the Iowa/Minnesota direct trade are down 2.03 at 89.42 on a carcass basis, the West is 2.24 lower at 89.17, and the East is .96 lower at 89,89, Missouri direct base carcass meat price is steady from 85.00 to 86.00. Terminal hogs are steady to a 1.00 higher from 59.00 to 62.00 o0n a live basis.

Pork carcass cutout value FOB plant is .52 higher at 92.72 in the morning mandatory report on a negotiated basis.

Although Iowa live hog weights held steady at 276.8 pounds, 0.3 pounds larger than 2012. We should start to drop hard through May and into midsummer. The average reduction over the next 60 days should be around 7-8 pounds.

Bean meal sales top estimates

USDA reports soybean meal export sales for the week ending May 9 were larger than expected, while corn, wheat, and soybeans were within pre-report estimates, and soybean oil saw a net reduction. Physical shipments of soybeans were more than what’s needed weekly to meet USDA projections for the 2012/13 marketing year but corn and wheat fell short of their respective marks.

Wheat came out at 125,000 tons (4.6 million bushels), down 48% from the week ending May 2 and 52% lower than the four week average. The Philippines bought 65,000 tons and Egypt picked up 63,000 tons but unknown destinations canceled on 255,100 tons. With less than a month left in the 2012/13 marketing year for wheat, exports are 986.7 million bushels, compared to 1.022 billion late in 2011/12. Sales of 415,600 tons (15.3 million bushels) for 2013/14 delivery were mainly to unknown destinations (196,900 tons) and Japan (64,800 tons).

Corn was reported at 219,900 tons (8.7 million bushels), 90% more than the previous week but 24% less than the four week average. Mexico purchased 136,700 tons and Japan bought 132,900 tons, with unknown canceling on 86,000 tons. For the marketing year to date, corn sales are 672.6 million bushels, compared to 1.491 billion this time last year. Sales of 38,600 tons (1.5 million bushels) for 2013/14 delivery were to Mexico (31,100 tons) and Panama (7,500 tons).

Soybeans were pegged at 15,300 tons (600,000 bushels), with sales from 1,300 to 10,300 tons partially offset by cancellations of 1,900 and 9,000 tons. So far this marketing year, soybean sales are 1.341 billion bushels, compared to 1.290 billion a year ago. Sales of 346,600 tons (12.7 million bushels) for 2013/14 delivery were to China (275,000 tons), Mexico (45,000 tons), and unknown destinations (20,500 tons).

Soybean meal came out at 82,800 tons, larger than the week before but 44% smaller than the four week average. Colombia picked up 52,000 tons and Venezuela purchased 26,700 tons but unknown destinations canceled on 75,400 tons. At this point in the marketing year, soybean meal sales are 8,792,700 tons, compared to 6,586,400 tons last year. Sales of 109,700 tons for 2013/14 delivery were primarily to Vietnam (94,000 tons).

Soybean oil had a net reduction of 5,300 tons with cancellations offsetting any new sales. 2012/13 soybean oil sales are 827,500 tons, compared to 411,000 in 2011/12.

Net beef sales were reported at 4,700 tons. The listed buyers were Canada (2,800 tons), Hong Kong (1,800 tons), South Korea (1,600 tons), Mexico (1,200 tons), and Taiwan (700 tons). Cancellations were made by Japan (3,000 tons) and Vietnam (600 tons).

Net pork sales totaled 7,200 tons. The reported purchasers were Japan (1,900 tons), Canada (1,700 tons), Mexico (900 tons), South Korea (700 tons), and Hong Kong (600 tons).

Lower finish for grains and oilseeds

Soybeans were lower on fund and technical selling. However, the nearby supply remains tight and although they have eased, there are still shipping delays out of some of Brazil’s largest ports. Dow Jones Newswires reports Brazil’s Congress is debating a proposal to expand and modernize ports, with unions opposed as it would potentially increase the number of non-union workers. The National Oilseed Processors Association’s April member crush was 120.113 million bushels, down on the month and below pre-report estimates due to that tight near term domestic supply. China’s showing continued interest in new crop U.S. soybeans, buying another 171,000 tons Wednesday. Soybean meal and oil were lower on spillover from beans. USDA’s weekly export sales report is out Thursday at 8:30 AM Eastern/7:30 AM Central. Soybeans are placed at 200,000 to 600,000 tons, meal is seen at 25,000 to 150,000 tons, and oil is pegged at 0 to 15,000 tons.

Corn was lower on fund and technical selling. Most of the Midwest should see good planting progress over the next couple of days ahead of more rain around the region. The nearby supply remains tight, so tight in fact, that purchasers from Asia have made the unusual move of buying from South Africa with Taiwan and Japan both noted as buyers. Ethanol futures were lower. Weekly U.S. corn export sales are expected to be between 200,000 and 550,000 tons.

The wheat complex was lower on fund and technical selling, along with spillover from the dollar. Spring wheat planting conditions have improved thanks to drier weather and warmer soil temperatures, and parts of South Dakota are getting rain. Still, there are a lot of worries about hard red winter condition and some increasing global weather concerns, especially for the Black Sea region and Australia. European wheat was flat, watching weather factors. South Korean flour mills bought 70,000 tons of Australian wheat, Indonesia picked up 45,000 tons of spring wheat from Canada, and DTN states Middle Eastern millers purchased 30,000 tons of Indian wheat. Customs data from the United Kingdom shows March wheat exports at 32,947 tons, down 78% on the month and the lowest for March in more than a decade. France’s Agrimer projects 2012/13 soft wheat production at 35.642 million tons, compared to 33.977 million in 2011/12. Weekly U.S. wheat sales are estimated at 200,000 to 500,000 tons.