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USDA sees big year-to-year drop in sorghum

The USDA expects 2022 sorghum production to be well below 2021.

The crop is expected to be 286.12 million bushels, compared to 447.81 million a year ago, with a decline in planted area, along with a lower average yield due to drought in some key growing areas. The average yield is pegged at 53.2 bushels per acre, compared to 69 last year, with harvested area of 5.375 million acres, compared to 6.49 million in 2021.

New crop ending stocks are seen at 24 million bushels, compared to 53 million last marketing year, largely due to that decrease in production, with the USDA slashing projections for exports and feed use. The average farm price is estimated at $6.55 per bushel, unchanged from July and up from the 2021/22 estimate of $5.95.

The new marketing year for sorghum starts September 1st.

The USDA’s next set of supply, demand, and production numbers is out September 12th.

Comparisons for Brownfield states:

Kansas: 176.9 million bushels, compared to 256.2 million in 2021; Yield: 61 bushels per acre, compared to 78 a year ago; Harvested Area: 2.9 million acres, compared to 3.4 million last year

Nebraska: 16.8 million bushels, compared to 19.78 million in 2021; Yield: 60 bushels per acre, compared to 86 a year ago; Harvested Area: 280,000 acres, compared to 230,000 last year

South Dakota: 16.75 million bushels, compared to 114.07 million in 2021; Yield: 67 bushels per acre, compared to 64 a year ago; Harvested Area: 250,000 acres, compared to 210,000 last year

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