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USDA lowers 2022 corn, soybean crop outlooks

The USDA has trimmed its outlooks for 2022 U.S. corn and soybean production slightly as harvest moves forward. It’s been another widely varied year for U.S. crop weather, with planting delays in some northern portions of the growing region, followed by periodic excessively wet conditions in some eastern areas during development and continued drought in parts of the Plains.

As of October 1st, this year’s corn crop is expected to be 13.895 billion bushels, a decline of less than 1% from September following a modest reduction to the average yield guess to 171.9 bushels per acre. Harvested area is estimated at 80.844 million acres. In 2021, corn totaled 15.074 billion bushels with an average yield of 176.7 bushels per acre and harvested area of 85.318 million acres.

Soybeans are seen at 4.313 billion bushels, 1% less than last month, with the USDA also cutting that yield expectation fractionally to 49.8 bushels per acre. This year’s harvested area for soybeans is expected to be 86.631 million acres. Last year, soybeans totaled 4.465 billion bushels with an average yield of 51.7 bushels per acre and harvested area of 86.312 million acres.

The USDA’s next set of supply, demand, and production estimates is out November 9th.

Comparisons for Brownfield states:

Arkansas: Corn: 121.44 million bushels, compared to 152.72 million in 2021; Yield: 176 bushels per acre, compared to 176 a month ago and 184 a year ago; Harvested Area: 690,000 acres, compared to 830,000 last year

Soybeans: 166.95 million bushels, compared to 156 million in 2021; Yield: Record 53 bushels per acre, compared to 53 a month ago and 52 a year ago; Harvested Area: 3.15 million acres, compared to 3 million last year

Illinois: Corn: 2.216 billion bushels, compared to 2.192 billion in 2021; Yield: Record 210 bushels per acre, compared to 204 a month ago and 202 a year ago; Harvested Area: 10.55 million acres, compared to 10.85 million last year

Soybeans: 684.8 million bushels, compared to 683.15 million in 2021; Yield: 64 bushels per acre, compared to 64 a month ago and 65 a year ago; Harvested Area: 10.7 million acres, compared to 10.51 million last year

Indiana: Corn: 944.35 million bushels, compared to 1.028 billion in 2021; Yield: 187 bushels per acre, compared to 186 a month ago and 195 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.05 million acres, compared to 5.27 million last year

Soybeans: 343.97 million bushels, compared to 338.4 million in 2021; Yield: 59 bushels per acre, compared to 60 both a month ago and a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.83 million acres, compared to 5.64 million last year

Iowa: Corn: 2.49 billion bushels, compared to 2.54 billion in 2021; Yield: 200 bushels per acre, compared to 200 a month ago and 204 a year ago; Harvested Area: 12.45 million acres, steady with last year

Soybeans: 581.16 million bushels, compared to 631.98 million in 2021; Yield: 58 bushels per acre, compared to 59 a month ago and 63 a year ago; Harvested Area: 10.02 million acres, compared to 10.03 million last year

Kansas: Corn: 592.25 million bushels, compared to 750.6 million in 2021; Yield: 115 bushels per acre, compared to 122 a month ago and 139 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.15 million acres, compared to 5.4 million last year

Soybeans: 140 million bushels, compared to 192 million in 2021; Yield: 28 bushels per acre, compared to 32 a month ago and 40 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5 million acres, compared to 4.8 million last year

Michigan: Corn: 327.02 million bushels, compared to 346.26 million in 2021; Yield: 166 bushels per acre, compared to 168 a month ago and 174 a year ago; Harvested Area: 1.97 million acres, compared to 1.99 million last year

Soybeans: 102.58 million bushels, compared to 109.14 million in 2021; Yield: 46 bushels per acre, compared to 47 a month ago and 51 a year ago; Harvested Area: 2.23 million acres, compared to 2.14 million last year

Minnesota: Corn: 1.435 billion bushels, compared to 1.388 billion in 2021; Yield: 190 bushels per acre, compared to 190 a month ago and 177 a year ago; Harvested Area: 7.55 million acres, compared to 7.84 million last year

Soybeans: 369 million bushels, compared to 356.26 million in 2021; Yield: 50 bushels per acre, compared to 50 a month ago and 47 a year ago; Harvested Area: 7.38 million acres, compared to 7.58 million last year

Missouri: Corn: 483.2 million bushels, compared to 545.37 million in 2021; Yield: 151 bushels per acre, compared to 149 a month ago and 159 a year ago; Harvested Area: 3.2 million acres, compared to 3.43 million last year

Soybeans: 272.25 million bushels, compared to 276.85 million in 2021; Yield: 45 bushels per acre, compared to 47 a month ago and 49 a year ago; Harvested Area: 6.05 million acres, compared to 5.65 million last year

Nebraska: Corn: 1.6 billion bushels, compared to 1.855 billion in 2021; Yield: 172 bushels per acre, compared to 176 a month ago and 194 a year ago; Harvested Area: 9.3 million acres, compared to 9.56 million last year

Soybeans: 279.3 million bushels, compared to 350.91 million in 2021; Yield: 49 bushels per acre, compared to 52 a month ago and 63 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.7 million acres, compared to 5.57 million last year

Ohio: Corn: 583.44 million bushels, compared to 644.62 million in 2021; Yield: 187 bushels per acre, compared to 186 a month ago and 193 a year ago; Harvested Area: 3.12 million acres, compared to 3.34 million last year

Soybeans: 279.4 million bushels, compared to 278.16 million in 2021; Yield: 55 bushels per acre, compared to 56 a month ago and 57 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.08 million acres, compared to 4.88 million last year

South Dakota: Corn: 682.5 million bushels, compared to 734.32 million in 2021; Yield: 130 bushels per acre, compared to 138 a month ago and 134 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.25 million acres, compared to 5.48 million last year

Soybeans: 202 million bushels, compared to 215.6 million in 2021; Yield: 40 bushels per acre, compared to 41 a month ago and 40 a year ago; Harvested Area: 5.05 million acres, compared to 5.39 million last year

Tennessee: Corn: 101.43 million bushels, compared to 161.5 million in 2021; Yield: 126 bushels per acre, compared to 127 a month ago and 170 a year ago; Harvested Area: 805,000 acres, compared to 950,000 last year

Soybeans: 74.52 million bushels, compared to 76 million in 2021; Yield: 46 bushels per acre, compared to 46 a month ago and 50 a year ago; Harvested Area: 1.62 million acres, compared to 1.52 million last year

Wisconsin: Corn: 536.9 million bushels, compared to 540 million in 2021; Yield: Record 182 bushels per acre, compared to 183 a month ago and 180 a year ago; Harvested Area: 2.95 million acres, compared to 3 million last year

Soybeans: 115.02 million bushels, compared to 113.85 million in 2021; Yield: 54 bushels per acre, compared to 53 a month ago and 55 a year ago; Harvested Area: 2.13 million acres, compared to 2.07 million last year

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