Armyworm threat to Missouri fescue and wheat

Scouting is paramount, says a Missouri Extension entomologist, because true Armyworms have been found in fescue pastures and they are also threatening wheat crops.  Wayne Bailey says Armyworms usually appear in fescue fields two weeks before being found in wheat fields, that’s why scouting now is so important.

Armyworms can strip pastures and hayfields, feeding at night. Bailey says they can strip the leaves from wheat which stops the filling of seed heads AND they can remove seed heads completely which is much more serious.

“If they do remove the wheat heads, as a larger worm, they will often take about 2-to-3-percent the first night and then about 50% or so the next two nights so that the whole field is defoliated.”

He says growers have got to get out of the truck and look at the base of fescue and wheat. He says spraying fescue is easier because in spraying wheat, farmers have to be aware of pre-harvest intervals.

Affected hay can be cut for forage as an alternative to spraying.

Corn, soybeans mixed ahead of holiday weekend

Soybeans were mixed on old crop/new crop spread trade with markets and USDA closed Monday for Memorial Day. Old crop supplies remain extremely tight but the cash basis has been moving lower recently, pressuring July, and there’s increasing talk of the U.S. importing soybeans from South America. Brazil’s ports are seeing improved loading and shipping times, and it looks like potential labor issues in Argentina have been put to rest for now. Past that – the trade’s keeping an eye on soil moisture levels and planting conditions as we get closer to June. Soybean meal was mixed on old crop/new crop spreads and bean oil was lower on fund selling.

Corn was mixed on old crop/new crop spread adjustments. Planting conditions look good across most of the Cornbelt and it’ll be very interesting to see how much progress is made when the numbers come out on Tuesday. In any event, the trade’s expecting a big crop but the supply remains tight and demand looks good, especially from the domestic side of the ledger. Ethanol futures were lower. Taiwan’s Maize Industry Procurement Association bought 60,000 tons of corn from Brazil.

The wheat complex was lower on fund and technical selling. There’s more rain in the forecast for parts of the Southern Plains, but the region is in need of a lot more precipitation than what is in the outlook. China purchased 180,000 tons of new crop U.S. soft red winter and South Korea bought 114,000 tons of optional origin feed wheat. Also, Tunisia picked up 75,000 tons of optional origin milling wheat and Israel purchased 30,000 tons of fed wheat. European wheat was lower on spillover from Chicago.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: May 24, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.57 and 1/4, down 4 and 3/4 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $14.76 and 1/4, down 23 and 1/4 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $428.20, down $8.80
Jul. soybean oil closed at 49.24, down 42 points
Jul. wheat closed at $6.97 and 1/2, down 5 and 3/4 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $120.57, up $1.45
Jun. lean hogs closed at $94.87, up 67 cents
Jul. crude oil closed at $94.15, down 10 cents
Jul. cotton closed at 81.49, down 29 points
Jun. Class III milk closed at $17.91, down 43 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,386.60, down $5.20
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,303.10, up 8.60 points

Time to scout corn and wheat fields

It might be a holiday weekend, but Ohio State University Extension entomologist Ron Hammond says, insects don’t know that.

So when it comes to corn, Hammond says growers should be scouting for Black Cutworm, especially considering the size of the corn.

“Because the corn is so small right now, it doesn’t take a very large cutworm larva to actually damage it and the smaller the corn the more corn plants a single larva can actually damage,” Hammond said. “So with the small size of the corn you have to be a little bit more careful with the cutworm.”

As far as when control measures should be taken, again because the corn is small, Hammond says we need to be conservative.

“You get anywhere close to the threshold where you are starting to see one two percent cut and the corn is really small, you have to start thinking a little bit more about whether you should do anything,” said the OSU Extension entomologist.

While out scouting, there’s another insect to monitor and that’s the Cereal Leaf Beetle in wheat.

“The one thing we want to point out to growers is that we used to have a threshold of about two per stem, we reduced that a couple of years ago, now it’s only one,” Hammond said. “Because of the price of wheat, being a lot higher, we want to be conservative and not let much of that plant flag leaf get consumed by the Cereal Leaf Beetle.”

Audio: Ron Hammond, Extension entomologist, The Ohio State University (5:25 mp3)

Mostly firm finish in corn and soybeans

Soybeans were mostly firm on commercial and technical buying. The nearby supply remains tight and the weekly export numbers were bullish, coming at more than a million tons, with China buying another 115,000 tons of new crop Thursday morning. However, the cash basis has been down over the past few days due to increased farmer selling and planting conditions look good thanks to improved moisture levels. Soybean meal was mostly firm on commercial demand and bean oil was slightly higher on the overall tone of the soybean complex.

Corn was up modestly on commercial and technical buying. Even with more rain in the forecast for some areas of the Cornbelt, the prospects for this year’s crop have improved greatly in the last few days. In any event, near term supplies remain tight and the cash basis remains at historically high levels for this time of year. Ethanol futures were mostly firm, the exceptions being nearby June and July. Strategie Grains projects 2013/14 corn production for current European Union members at 64.5 million tons, down 100,000 from their most recent projection. Croatia joins the European Union in July.

The wheat complex was higher on short covering and technical buying. There’s some rain in the forecast for parts of the hard red winter region, but a lot more is needed across most of the area. Spring wheat planting and emergence remain slower than normal with more rain expected in North Dakota this weekend. European wheat was modestly higher on world weather concerns but gains were limited by higher trade in the euro. Strategie Grains estimates 2013/14 soft wheat production for the 27 current European Union nations at 129.8 million tons, down 200,000 from the last guess on smaller acreage in Germany and France; with Croatia, the estimate is 130.9 million tons. Algeria purchased 400,000 tons of optional origin milling wheat after tendering for 50,000 tons. Japan picked up 122,222 tons of milling wheat (31,955 tons Australian standard white, 25,261 tons U.S. western white, 22,396 tons U.S. dark northern spring, 22,370 tons Canadian western red spring, and 20,240 tons U.S. hard red winter), while in sell-buy-sell activity, Tokyo bought 24,700 tons of feed wheat and tendered for another 120,000 tons.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: May 23, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.62, up 3 and 1/2 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $14.99 and 1/2, up 5 and 1/4 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $437.00, down $3.60
Jul. soybean oil closed at 49.66, up 2 points
Jul. wheat closed at $7.03 and 1/4, up 14 and 3/4 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $119.12, down 87 cents
Jun. lean hogs closed at $94.20, down 35 cents
Jul. crude oil closed at $94.25, down 3 cents
Jul. cotton closed at 81.78, down 164 points
Jun. Class III milk closed at $18.34, up 24 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,391.80, up $24.40
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,294.50, down 12.67 points

Good week for new crop soybean, wheat sales

USDA reports soybean, soybean meal, and wheat export sales for the week ending May 16 were larger than expected, with corn and soybean oil within pre-report estimates. Physical shipments of corn, soybeans, and wheat were all less than what’s needed weekly to meet USDA projections for the 2012/13 marketing year.

Wheat came out at 239,400 tons (8.8 million bushels), up 91% from the week ending May 9 and 55% higher than the four week average. Nigeria bought 105,400 tons and Brazil picked up 72,000 tons, while unknown destinations canceled on 98,600 tons. Nearing the end of the 2012/13 marketing year, wheat sales are 995.5 million bushels, compared to 1.025 billion late in 2011/12. Sales of 713,600 tons (26.2 million bushels) for 2013/14 delivery were mostly to unknown destinations (162,900 tons) and the Dominican Republic (68,100 tons).

Corn was reported at 104,600 tons (4.1 million bushels), down 52% from the previous week and 57% lower than the four week average. Mexico purchased 40,300 tons and unknown destinations bought 32,000 tons. For the 2012/13 marketing year to date, corn sales are 676.7 million bushels, compared to 1.497 billion in 2011/12. Sales of 341,600 tons (13.4 million bushels) for 2013/14 delivery were primarily to unknown destinations (205,400 tons).

Soybeans were pegged at 183,500 tons (6.7 million bushels), with unknown destinations picking up 82,800 tons and Japan purchasing 35,200 tons. So far this marketing year, soybean sales are 1.348 billion bushels, compared to 1.319 billion this time last year. Sales of 838,900 tons (30.8 million bushels) for 2013/14 delivery were mostly to China (531,000 tons) and unknown destinations (180,000 tons).

Soybean meal came out at 131,200 tons, 58% more than the prior week and 30% above the four week average. Ecuador bought 62,200 tons and unknown destinations picked up 27,300 tons, while Colombia canceled on 25,300 tons. At this point in the marketing year, soybean meal sales are 8,924,000 tons, compared to 6,731,000 tons a year ago. Sales of 125,400 tons for 2013/14 delivery were mostly to unknown destinations (75,000 tons) and Vietnam (47,000 tons).

Soybean oil was reported at 9,600 tons, with South Korea purchasing 8,000 tons and Canada cancelling on 600 tons. Cumulative 2012/13 soybean oil sales are 837,100 tons, compared to 420,500 at this point in 2011/12.

Net beef sales totaled 20,400 tons. The listed buyers were Japan (6,200 tons), Hong Kong (5,400 tons), Mexico (4,400 tons), Canada (1,800 tons), and South Korea (1,800 tons). Vietnam canceled on 1,100 tons.

Net pork sales came out at 7,200 tons. The reported purchasers were Mexico (3,000 tons), Canada (800 tons), South Korea (800 tons), China (700 tons), and Hong Kong (700 tons).

Solid session for grains and oilseeds

Soybeans were higher on commercial and technical buying. The near term supply remains tight, there’s plenty of commercial interest, and China continues to be very interested in beans. That said – farmer selling has increased, allowing new crop to out gain old crop, and the trade expects large domestic and world crops. Soybean meal and oil were higher, following beans. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada sees 2013/14 soybean production at 4.465 million tons and projects canola at 14.100 million tons. USDA’s weekly export sales report is out Thursday at 8:30 AM Eastern/7:30 AM Central. Soybeans are pegged at 400,000 to 800,000 tons, meal is seen at 100,000 to 225,000 tons, and oil is placed at 0 to 15,000 tons.

Corn was higher on technical and commercial buying. China bought 360,000 tons of corn and unknown destinations picked up 180,000 tons, both U.S. origin for new crop delivery. Also, even if there was a record week to week increase in planting, there are a lot of concerns about the slow emergence. According to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, 2013/14 domestic corn production should be up on the year at 13.800 million tons. Weekly U.S. corn export sales are expected to be between 200,000 and 500,000 tons. Ethanol futures were higher.

The wheat complex was mostly higher on speculative and technical buying. There’s some rain in the forecast for the hard red winter crop, but the longer term outlooks show more hot and dry weather on the way. Minneapolis was mostly firm as spring planting remains behind average and emergence is also slower than normal. European wheat was sharply higher on worries about weather in the U.S. and Black Sea region. Tunisia tendered for 67,000 tons of milling wheat and Algeria is in the market for 50,000 tons of milling wheat. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada projects 2013/14 all wheat production at 29.400 million tons, with the durum crop at 4.900 million tons. Weekly U.S. wheat sales are estimated at 400,000 to 700,000 tons.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: May 22, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.58 and 1/2, up 18 and 1/2 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $14.94 and 1/4, up 16 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $440.60, up $1.90
Jul. soybean oil closed at 49.64, up 16 points
Jul. wheat closed at $6.88 and 1/2, up 8 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $120.00, down $1.10
Jun. lean hogs closed at $94.55, up $2.15
Jul. crude oil closed at $94.28, down $1.90
Jul. cotton closed at 83.42, down 44 points
Jun. Class III milk closed at $18.10, up 4 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,367.40, down $10.20
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,307.17, down 80.41 points

Mixed finish for corn, soybeans, wheat

Soybeans were mixed with July up on commercial buying and the other months down on technical and speculative selling. The near term supply remains tight and there’s market chatter about shipping delays out of Argentina. However, even if planting is slower than average, the trade does expect a large U.S. crop this year. Soybean meal was mixed on the same factors as beans, while oil was up on technical buying. Consulting firm Safras & Mercado projects 2012/13 Brazilian production at 82.3 million tons, down slightly from their April guess but up more than 20% from the 2011/12 total.

Corn was mixed in consolidation trade. Old crop was down on increased farmer selling and softer cash basis triggered by the record matching week to week increase in planted area. New crop was steady to firm on an oversold bounce and concerns about wet weather in some key growing areas, but in general, the trade seems a lot less worried about a large acreage shift. Ethanol futures were lower.

The wheat complex was mostly lower with Chicago and Kansas City down on fund and technical selling, along with the higher dollar. Even with another decline in the winter condition rating, the trade’s focusing on the large available world supply. Minneapolis was up on the slow spring planting pace and slow emergence. Russia’s Ag Ministry reports grain exports from July 1, 2012 to May 15, 2013 are 41% behind last marketing year’s pace at 14.788 million tons. Japan issued a tender for 122,222 tons of milling wheat (31,955 tons Australian standard white, 25,261 tons U.S. western white, 22,396 tons U.S. dark northern spring, 22,370 tons Canadian western red spring, and 20,240 tons U.S. hard red winter), while Jordan is in the market for 150,000 tons of milling wheat and Israel is tendering for 60,000 tons of feed wheat.