Wisconsin soybean grower will “See For Yourself”

WSMB photo

WSMB photo

A Wisconsin soybean grower is among ten U.S. farmers selected for the United Soybean Board’s annual “See For Yourself” program. Jonathan Gibbs of Fox Lake will travel to USB headquarters in St. Louis on July 18th where he will learn more about how the soybean checkoff works. The group will then travel to Panama and Columbia to learn first-hand about demand and uses of U.S. soybeans, soybean meal and oil.

The Dodge County farmer says he looks forward to the opportunity to meet fellow U.S. soybean farmers and to learn “what U.S. soybean farmers need to do to be the first choice supplier to fill global soybean demands.”

A graduate of U.W. River Falls, Gibbs is the fourth generation on his family’s farm which raises seed soybeans, food-grade soybeans, corn, seed wheat, canning peas, alfalfa and cattle.

National Dairy Product prices mixed

The National Dairy Products Sales Report for the week ending June 15 has cheddar cheese blocks averaging $1.76 per pound down 2.2 cents from the previous week. Barrels averaged $1.77 per pound up 0.9 cents. Butter increased 1.9 cents to $1.57, whey increased 0.6 cents to 57.4 cents per pound and nonfat dry milk slipped 0.2 cents to average $1.68 per pound.

The Base Class I price for July milk is $18.91, down 2 cents from June. The base skim milk price for Class I is $13.50 up 41 cents from the previous month and the highest price since last December.

A little more milk in May

Total milk production in the U.S. in May was 17.74 billion pounds up 0.8 percent from May, 2012 and the biggest year-over-year increase of 2013. Milk production in the 23 major dairy states increased 0.9 percent in May to 16.52 billion pounds.

15 of the 23 major milk-producing states saw an increase in production compared to a year ago, 7 saw a decrease and Florida was unchanged. California produced 3.7 billion pounds of milk in May, a half-percent less than May of 2012. Wisconsin production increased 1.2 percent to 2.36 billion pounds. New York produced 1.177 billion pounds up 2.1 percent; Idaho had 1.175 billion pounds up 0.3 percent and Pennsylvania produced 935 million pounds up 2.3 percent from May of last year.

Milk cow numbers and production per cow are not reported due to the budget sequester.

Read the full NASS report here:

Strong gains for grains and oilseeds

Soybeans were higher on commercial and technical buying. The nearby supply is tight and domestic demand is solid with the cash basis firm at midday on Wednesday. In any event, the trade’s waiting for next week’s quarterly stocks and planted acreage numbers out on the 28th. Informa Economics sees 2013 U.S. soybean acreage at 77.756 million acres, down from their May guess, but larger than USDA’s most recent projection. Soybean meal and oil followed soybeans higher. South Korea’s Major Feedmill Group purchased 60,000 tons of soybean meal from South America. Argentina’s Ag Ministry projects soybean production at 50.2 million tons, down 400,000 from May but still up 25% on the year and potentially their second largest crop on record.

Corn was higher on technical and commercial buying. Development weather’s the big factor right now for corn with more rain in the near term forecast for some key growing areas. Corn’s also waiting for next week’s USDA reports, expecting lower than originally projected planted area. Informa estimates 2013 U.S. corn acreage at 95.262 million acres, compared to USDA’s March guess of 97.282 million acres. Ethanol was mixed with nearbys weak and deferreds firm. According to Argentina’s Ag Ministry, corn production should be a record 26.1 million tons, a little larger than the May estimate and up 23% from 2012.

The wheat complex was higher on technical buying and short covering. Chicago and Kansas City are watching winter harvest activity and Minneapolis is keeping an eye on forecasts for more rain in the Northern Plains. Informa projects 2013 U.S. spring wheat acreage at 11.971 million acres with durum at 1.751 million acres, both down on the year. Japan and Taiwan are tendering for U.S. wheat this week, but want assurance there’s no GMOs in the shipments. There was talk of China needing to buy more wheat and picking up a large amount from France, but no confirmation yet. Dow Jones Newswires reports November European wheat was higher. Ukraine’s Ag Ministry has lowered their grain export estimate to 23 million tons. Ukraine’s next marketing year starts July 1. Jordan bought 100,000 tons of optional origin wheat.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: June 19, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.82 and 1/4, up 9 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $15.23, up 12 and 1/4 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $453.60, up $1.80
Jul. soybean oil closed at 49.35, up 54 points
Jul. wheat closed at $7.07, up 19 and 1/2 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $120.47, up 97 cents
Jul. lean hogs closed at $99.97, up $1.27
Jul. crude oil closed at $98.24, down 20 cents
Jul. cotton closed at 85.40, up 42 points
Jul. Class III milk closed at $18.04, up 6 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,373.60, up $7.00
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,112.19, down 206.04 points

103 Farm Bill amendments to be considered

The House Rules Committee has determined there will be 103 amendments offered to the farm bill. 230 had been submitted, 10 of which were withdrawn.

The rule provides 10 minutes of debate for each amendment made in order, except for McGovern #146, Royce #55, Kind #149, Pitts #13, and Goodlatte #194, which will be debatable for 20 minutes.

  • The McGovern amendment (#146) will be offered first, it seeks to restore $20.5 billion in SNAP funding.
  • The Kind amendment (#149) seeks to limit crop insurance premium subsidies to producers with an AGI under $250,000 and limit per person premium subsidies to $50,000 and caps crop insurance provider reimbursements and reduces their rate of return to 12 percent.
  • The Pitts amendment (#13) would reform the federal sugar policy.
  • The Goodlatte amendment (#194) seeks to remove the market stabilization provision from the Dairy Security Act.
  • The Royce amendment (#55) seeks to change the international food programs and curtail “monetization”.

House leadership hopes to have the debate done and vote on the bill by late Thursday.

A complete list of the 103 amendments available here:

House begins farm bill debate

The House is prepared to get to work on the farm bill, in prepared remarks, Ag Committee Chair Frank Lucas explained the four-year process used to generate the bill including consideration of more than 200 amendments during markup. He noted the bill was voted out of the ag committee 36-10 with 23 out of 25 Republicans and 13 out of 21 Democrats supporting it. The Chairman says “The result is legislation that calls for reduced spending, smaller government, and common-sense reform.”

Ranking member Collin Peterson voiced his support for the bill, “With roughly 16 million American jobs tied to agriculture, the farm bill is a jobs bill.” He continued, “Failing to pass a new, five-year farm bill could potentially devastate our rural economy. Why would we want to jeopardize the one part of the economy that has been, and continues to be, working?”

The Minnesota Democrat says he knows there are going to be a lot of amendments offered, “but it’s my opinion that in order for the bill to be conferenced, to be able to get a new bill signed into law before September 30, we need to keep this a bipartisan bill and not stray too far from what was approved in Committee.”

As of Monday, more than 220 amendments had been posted and the White House says the President would veto the bill as it stands right now.

Chairman Lucas’s statement followed by Mr. Peterson’s

[Read more...]

Global Dairy Trade prices up/ Outlook prices down

After declining for the last two months, the overall average price nudged a little higher on the Global Dairy Trade Auction in New Zealand on Tuesday. Cheddar cheese was 6.5 percent lower and butter milk powder declined 2.2 percent from the June 4th auction. Anhydrous milk fat increased 1.7 percent, whole milk powder up 2.2 percent, skim milk powder was 3.2 percent higher and butter increased 4.7 percent putting the average for all products up 1.1 percent from the last sale. There were no sales of lactose, milk protein concentrate and rennet casein.

Cooperatives Working Together (CWT) has accepted four requests for export assistance from Dairy Farmers of America and Northwest Dairy Association (Darigold) to sell 310,852 pounds of Cheddar cheese to customers in Asia and North Africa. The product will be delivered June through September 2013.

Year-to-date, CWT has assisted member cooperatives in selling 61.123 million pounds of cheese, 51.727 million pounds of butter, 44,092 pounds of anhydrous milk fat and 218,258 pounds of whole milk powder to 31 countries on six continents

Monthly Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook from USDA on Tuesday held only slight changes for dairy. Corn prices were raised from the May estimates reflecting delayed planting, reduced production and tightened supplies. Soybean and alfalfa prices were also raised and that means higher feed prices. U.S. milk production estimates unchanged for 2013 at 201.8 billion pounds but the 2014 production estimate was reduced to 204.5 billion pounds. The Outlook Board says high feed prices will keep the milk-to-feed ratio below the level needed to prompt expansion of the dairy herd.

Cheese and butter price estimates for 2013 were lowered to reflect growing cold storage inventories. Cheese is pegged at $1.745 to $1.785 this year. Butter was reduced to $1.54 to $1.61 this year. 2014 butter price estimate was also reduced to $1.48 to $1.61 while the cheese price was left unchanged from last month’s estimate at $1.675 to $1.775 per pound.

The Class III price for 2013 is estimated at between $17.80 and $18.20 this year, $17 to $18 next year. Class IV is pegged at $18.15 to $18.65 this year, $17.75 to $18.85 in 2014. The all milk price for 2013 was raised a little from last month now estimated at $19.60 to $20. Next year’s all milk price is projected to be between $18.95 and $19.95 per hundredweight.

Mostly higher day for grains and oilseeds

Soybeans were mostly firm with July down on profit taking and the others up on crop development concerns. Planting is 85% complete, compared to 91% on average, and emergence is slow, but it is worth noting the crop is in better shape than it was last year at this time. Monday’s NOPA crush numbers were bullish and China bought 240,000 tons of new crop U.S. beans Tuesday. Soybean meal was higher and bean meal was weak on the adjustment of product spreads. DTN reports Taiwan Sugar Corp. canceled a tender for 12,000 tons of U.S. beans, expecting the price to come down in the near future.

Corn was higher on commercial and fund buying. There are more than a few producers who’d dispute it, but USDA says this year’s crop is officially planted and emergence does remain slower than average. In any event, the near term supply is tight, the cash basis is firm and trade’s waiting for USDA’s grain stocks and acreage numbers out on the 28th. Ethanol futures were mostly firm. South Korea’s Nonghyup Feed Inc. bought a total of 127,000 tons of optional origin corn, 69,000 of that either U.S. or South American, while Taiwan Sugar Corp. canceled a recent tender for 23,000 tons of U.S. corn because, according to DTN, they expect a decline in price.

The wheat complex was mixed. Chicago and Kansas City were up on short covering, Minneapolis was weak, watching the weather. There are a lot of concerns about hard red winter condition and yields and the continued slow spring planting pace. Still, the market has had trouble sustaining any upward momentum due to expectations for world production improvements. November European wheat was modestly higher. Japan issued a tender for 152,321 tons of milling wheat (60,882 tons Canadian western red spring, 35,543 tons U.S. dark northern spring, 29,450 tons U.S. hard red winter, and 26,446 tons Australian standard white), while South Korea’s Nonghyup Feed Inc. canceled a tender for 55,000 tons of feed wheat, citing the premium to corn.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: June 18, 2013

Jul. corn closed at $6.73 and 1/4, up 4 and 3/4 cents
Jul. soybeans closed at $15.10 and 3/4, down 1 and 3/4 cents
Jul. soybean meal closed at $451.80, up $2.70
Jul. soybean oil closed at 48.81, down 3 points
Jul. wheat closed at $6.87 and 1/2, up 7 cents
Jun. live cattle closed at $119.50, down 32 cents
Jul. lean hogs closed at $98.70, up 75 cents
Jul. crude oil closed at $98.44, up 67 cents
Jul. cotton closed at 84.98, down 245 points
Jul. Class III milk closed at $17.98, down 19 cents
Jun. gold closed at $1,366.60, down $16.20
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,318.23, up 138.38 points