A significant outbreak of late-season severe thunderstorms rapidly moved through central Illinois on Sunday, November 17.
No organized or new areas of active fire weather threats are expected forThursday.
For Thursday, no organized areas of severe thunderstorms are expected across the Nation.
However, scattered thunderstorms (below severe limits) are likely this weekend from the southern Plains, northeastward into the Ohio Valley and parts of the eastern U.S.
Here is a look at some of the potential or ongoing weather hazards and headlines ahead in the days to come:
Heavy rain for parts of the Gulf Coast, October 21.
Locally heavy rain and snow for parts of northern Michigan, October 23-24.
Much below-normal temperatures for parts of the central and southern Appalachians as well as the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, October 24-27.
Flooding occurring or imminent for parts of south-central Texas, October 21-22.
Severe drought for parts of the Midwest, lower Mississippi valley, Great Plains, Rio Grande Valley, Rockies, Southwest, Great Basin and California,
For the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
After a wet week across much of the central and eastern United States, drought receded to its smallest spatial extent since May 2012 on the Oct. 15 U.S. Drought Monitor. Drought in the western states was mostly unchanged.
The map shows just 36.71 percent of the contiguous United States in moderate drought or worse, compared with 38.59 percent a week earlier. The last time drought coverage was this low was May 29, 2012, at 37.37 percent.
Drought eased incrementally across the Midwest, Great Plains and South, including parts of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Nebraska, South Dakota, North Dakota, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Arkansas. Colorado and Wyoming also had areas of improvement. An exception to the general improvement was a small area in central Arkansas that got worse.
NOAA recently issued its updated Atlantic hurricane season outlook saying the season is shaping up to be above normal with the possibility that it could be very active. The season has already produced four named storms, with the peak of the season – mid-August through October – yet to come.
A stationary front will continue to bring showers and thunderstorms to the Southeast on Monday. The rain will continue across the area through mid-week, brining a threat of flooding across the region.
Meanwhile, showers and thunderstorms will also be prevalent across much of the Great Basin and Southwest, as well as parts of California on Monday.
2012 was a historic year for extreme weather that included drought, wildfires, hurricanes and storms; however, tornado activity was below average, according to an analysis released today by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center. The average temperature for 2012 was 55.3Â°F, 3.2Â°F above the 20th century average, and 1.0Â°F above 1998, the previous warmest year.
Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories are in effect for a large area of the lower Midwest, eastern Great Lakes and central Appalachians as well as portions of the Northeast.
A frontal boundary extends southeastward from the low centered over central Michigan into the Mid-Atlantic States and off the coast of South Carolina. Radars and surface observations indicated a large area of mainly light snow across much of the lower and eastern Midwest, Ohio River Valley and Great Lakes. Light snow was reported as far south as the mountains of eastern Tennessee. Across New England, light snow was falling across Vermont, New Hampshire and portions of upstate New York.
Behind the cold front cold polar air mass had pushed all the way into the deep South, with temperatures in the 30s. Strong winds were reported in many areas of the Great Lakes, Ohio River Valley and Appalachians where wind gusts of 30 to 50 MPH or higher have been observed.