Fonterra trims farmgate milk prices

Fonterra announcing an 8 percent decrease in the farmgate milk price for this season and reduced the opening forecast for the 2012-13 milk year which begins June 1st. The New Zealand cooperative says the Global Dairy Trade Index has declined 20.3 percent since their April forecast citing strong production in Europe and the U.S. Milk production is also up in New Zealand and Australia. Fonterra Chairman Sir Henry van der Heyden says “There’s a lot of milk out there and prices have softened.”

The price reduction is actually less than had been expected reflecting a lower New Zealand currency, strong demand from China and some thoughts the world dairy market may recover later this year and into 2013.

Not only is Fonterra the largest dairy exporter in the world, it is also one of the largest companies in New Zealand accounting for 7 percent of GDP. Estimates are the reduction will take $500 million ($380.4 million U.S.) out of the country’s $200 billion ($152.16 billion U.S.) economy.

Colombia FTA “finally” in place says AFBF

With the Colombia Free Trade Agreement with the U.S. now in effect, the potential for new U.S. ag sales is skyrocketing, says the American Farm Bureau Federation.

“We projected this will mean over $350 to $370-Million a year of new sales in the not too distant future of ag products now that we’re competitive,” says American Farm Bureau Trade Specialist Dave Salmonsen.  He adds – it took a long time in coming. The negotiations began with Colombia eight years ago and the deal was essentially completed six years ago. In that time span, Argentina – and, just last year Canada – reached tariff agreements with the South American country.

“You know, the U.S. paved the way and showed that this could be done and what potential benefits would be, but, our process bogged down and moved so slowly that other countries took advantage of it.”

Total US exports under the Colombia FTA will grow by more than one-Billion dollars, according to government estimates.

More than half of U.S. ag products going to Columbia are now tariff-free and in the next few years tariffs will be phased out completely.

~AFBF contributed to this report~

Quiet week for export inspections

USDA states soybean and wheat export inspections for the week ending May 17 were above what’s needed to meet USDA projections for the 2011/12 marketing year while corn fell short of its’ target.

Wheat came out at 24.893 million bushels, down 3.111 million from the week ending May 10 and 6.318 million lower than the week ending May 19, 2011. With less than two weeks left in the 2011/12 marketing year, wheat inspections are 993.584 million bushels, compared to 1.229 billion late in 2010/11.

Corn was reported at 23.263 million bushels, 4.370 million less than the week before and 12.809 million below a year ago. At this point in the current marketing year, corn inspections are 1.160 billion bushels, compared to 1.265 billion this time last year.

Soybeans were pegged at 12.684 million bushels, a decrease of 7.856 million from the previous week but an increase of 3.227 million from last year. So far this marketing year, soybean inspections are 1.133 billion bushels, compared to 1.382 billion a year ago.

Sorghum inspections totaled 239,000 bushels. That’s up 71,000 bushels from the prior week but down 2.753 million from a year ago. 2011/12 sorghum inspections are 41.771 million bushels, compared to 111.857 million in 2010/11.

Pork exports stay strong

After setting new records for both volume and value last year, U.S. pork exports have gained even stronger momentum in 2012.  

Through the first quarter, year-over-year pork exports were up eight percent in volume and 20 percent higher in value.  

In March, pork export value, per head slaughtered, set a new all-time monthly record of $59.92. 

U.S. Meat Export Federation (USMEF) chairman and Indiana pork producer Danita Rodibaugh says those numbers are “exciting”. 

“Our prediction, not only from USMEF, but also other economists were that our exports would be challenged this year—but for pork, they were surprisingly up,” Rodibaugh says, “and we continue to see some positive returns in the export area, especially when we look at value per head.  We’re just shy of sixty dollars per head return because of the export market.” 

Rodibaugh says those results – especially the record-high export value per head – serve as a reminder of how critical pork exports are to producer profitability.

G8 commitments to food security

The U.S. is hosting a G8 summit at Camp David this weekend. Global food security was the main focus on Friday with emphasis on Africa.

President Obama announced a new global partnership to improve food security between governments, donor countries and the private sector. The President said the food security effort which includes $3 billion in corporate pledges builds on a $20 million commitment made by the G8 in 2009 aimed at boosting farmers’ incomes and helping 50 million people lift themselves out of poverty over the next 10 years.

Monsanto says it is working on the development of corn which utilizes water more efficiently as well as building a dealer network on the continent. DuPont says it will invest more than $3 million to help small farmers over the next three years. Syngenta is developing seeds for African farmers and expects to build a $1 billion business over the next decade. AGCO says it will invest $100 million in distribution infrastructure, model farms and training sites.

While food security is (was) the focus on Friday, the Euro Zone economic crisis will take center stage on Saturday.

Fairly quiet week for export sales

USDA reports corn, soybean meal, soybean oil, and wheat export sales for the week ending May 10 were within pre-report estimates, while soybeans were below expectations. Physical shipments of soybeans were above what’s needed to meet USDA projections for the 2011/12 marketing year but corn and wheat fell short of their respective marks.

Wheat came out at 321,800 tons (11.8 million bushels), up 45% from the week ending May 3 and 5% higher than the four week average. South Korea was the top buyer at 87,700 tons followed by Nigeria with 70,000 tons. With less than a month left in the 2011/12 marketing year, wheat sales are 1.022 billion bushels, compared to 1.301 billion in 2010/11. Sales of 389,600 tons (14.3 million bushels) for 2012/13 delivery were mainly to South Korea (129,900 tons).

Corn was reported at 339,400 tons (13.4 million bushels), 51% more than the previous week but 46% less than the four week average. Japan bought 259,500 tons but Egypt canceled on 111,300 tons. So far this marketing year, corn sales are 1.491 billion bushels, compared to 1.665 billion this time last year. Sales of 525,700 tons (20.7 million bushels) for 2012/13 delivery were primarily to unknown destinations (316,200 tons).

Soybeans were pegged at 616,300 tons (22.6 million bushels), 32% lower than the week before and down 7% from the four week average. Unknown destinations purchased 159,500 tons and China picked up 119,100 tons. At this point in the marketing year, soybean sales are 1.290 billion bushels, compared to 1.518 billion a year ago. Sales of 57,100 tons (2.1 million bushels) were mostly to Japan (38,100 tons).

Soybean meal came out at 114,300 tons, a decrease of 17% from the prior week and 36% under the four week average. Turkey bought 34,500 tons and Venezuela purchased 22,000 tons. For the marketing year to date, soybean meal sales are 6,599,200 tons, compared to 6,850,800 last year. Sales of 81,300 tons for 2012/13 delivery were mainly to Poland (27,000 tons), unknown destinations (25,000 tons), and Mexico (24,000 tons).

Soybean oil was reported at 8,100 tons, with sales to Nicaragua (8,700 tons) and Guatemala (800 tons) partially offset by cancellations from Canada (900 tons) and Morocco (600 tons). 2011/12 soybean oil sales are 411,000 tons, compared to 1,177,100 tons in 2010/11. Sales of 40,000 tons for 2012/13 delivery were to unknown destinations.

Net beef sales totaled 14,400 tons, down 31% on the week and 22% lower than the four week average. The listed buyers were Mexico (2,600 tons), Japan (2,400 tons), Russia (2,200 tons), South Korea (2,000 tons), and Canada (1,700 tons).

Profits down at JBS SA

JBS SA, the world’s largest beef producer reports first-quarter profits were $58 million down 21 percent from the first quarter last year. The company reports sales rose 9.1 percent compared to a year ago but earnings fell 16.7 percent thanks to a 10.6 percent increase in the cost of goods sold. The company ended the quarter with net debt of $5.65 billion U.S. dollars.

In recent months, JBS has leased 12 Brazilian beef plants adding slaughter capacity of 2 million cattle as well as a French-owned Brazilian chicken-processing company.

Last month, Pilgrim’s Pride, JBS’s U.S. poultry subsidiary reported a profit of $39.6 million for the first quarter. Market Watch says Pilgrim’s Pride accounts for 21 percent of JBS’s global sales.

U.S.-Colombia FTA takes effect

The U.S.-Columbia Free Trade Agreement took effect on Tuesday. U.S. Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack welcomed the implementation stating under the deal; “U.S. agricultural exporters receive duty-free access on more than half of the products we currently export to Colombia, and virtually all remaining tariffs will be eliminated within 15 years. Estimates show that the tariff reductions in the U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement will expand total U.S. exports by more than $1.1 billion.”

The U.S. exported $1.1 billion of agricultural products to Colombia last year, that is expected to increase by $370 million this year under the FTA.

Colombia will immediately eliminate duties on wheat, barley, soybeans, soybean meal and flour, high-quality beef, bacon, almost all fruit and vegetable products, wheat, peanuts, whey, cotton, and the vast majority of processed products. The Colombia TPA also provides duty free tariff rate quotas (TRQ) on standard beef, chicken leg quarters, dairy products, corn, sorghum, animal feeds, rice, and soybean oil.

Good week for soybean, wheat inspections

USDA reports soybean and wheat export inspections for the week ending May 10 were above pre-report estimates and more than what’s needed to meet projections for the 2011/12 marketing year but corn was below expectations and less than what’s needed to hit USDA’s mark.

Wheat came out at 28.004 million bushels, up 3.643 million from the week ending May 3 but down 2.259 million from the week ending May 12, 2011. With less than a month left in the 2011/12 marketing year, wheat inspections are 968.643 million bushels, compared to 1.198 billion in 2010/11.

Corn was reported at 26.802 million bushels, 2.810 million lower than the previous week and 11.470 million below a year ago. For the marketing year to date, corn inspections are 1.136 billion bushels, compared to 1.229 billion this time last year.

Soybeans were pegged at 20.311 million bushels, 9.595 million higher than the week before and 14.272 million above last year. So far this marketing year, soybean inspections are 1.120 billion bushels, compared to 1.373 billion a year ago.

Sorghum inspections totaled 168,000 bushels. That’s a decrease of 27,000 bushels from the prior week and a drop of 4.902 million from a year ago. 2011/12 sorghum inspections are 41.532 million bushels, compared to 108.865 million in 2010/11.

Australia’s largest dairy co-op cutting 300 jobs

Australia’s largest dairy processor is reducing its workforce by 12 percent. Murray-Goulburn Cooperative is eliminating 301 positions at processing plants, distribution centers and the head office. Citing an oversupply of milk and declining global prices, Managing Director Gary Helou says the changes will reduce operating expenses by $100 million this year, making the co-op more competitive globally while delivering higher farmgate prices. The co-op will still employ 2,100 people.

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