Weather

An active pattern resumes

A disturbance currently over the western Corn Belt will track east along a stalled frontal boundary, producing a swath of moderate to heavy rain (1 to 3 inches, locally more) from the lower Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic States. Somewhat spottier showers will develop south of the front from the middle Mississippi Valley into the Carolinas. Farther west, a pair of upper-air disturbances will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms, the first over the central Plains while the second moves into the Northwest. Above-normal temperatures will prevail across the western half of the nation over the next five days, though a break from the heat will briefly sweep from the Pacific Northwest into northern portions of the Rockies and Plains over the weekend. Hot, humid conditions will prevail across the South, with Southeastern showers contrasting with dry weather in Texas.

Looking ahead, the 6- to 10-day outlook calls for near- to above-normal temperatures nationwide — except for the Upper Midwest — with the greatest likelihood of heat centered over California and the Great Basin. Despite the warmth, an increased chance for above-normal rainfall is expected across much of the southern and eastern U.S., while drier-than-normal conditions prevail from the Northwest into the northern Plains and Upper Midwest.

5-Day Precipitation Totals

NOAA’s 6- to 10- Day Outlook

NOAA’s 8- to 14- Day Outlook