Friday 27th January 2012

Monday midday cash livestock markets

As impressive as the pre-holiday cattle spending turned out to be, DTN says there is considerable disagreement today regarding where the market goes from here. Many feedlots are confident that the combination of manageable show lists and unrelenting packer appetite will continue to lend the cash market a firm undertone. On the other hand, margin weary packers are anything but confident about beef demand. They remain in a deep hole, especially after last week’s spending.

Boxed beef prices are starting the week higher with the choice up .15 at 196.38, and the select up .37 at 177.41.

Feeder cattle receipts totaled 6055 head for a special Thanksgiving sale at the Burwell Livestock Market, Burwell Nebraska. The trend was unevenly steady and the demand was good for all weaned and un-weaned offerings with preconditioned shots.  647 head of feeder steers medium and large 1 averaging 528 pounds traded at 173.47 per hundredweight. 667 heifers weighing 515 pounds averaged 153.07.

Barrows and gilts in the Iowa/Minnesota direct trade opened .43 higher, the West is up .46 with both at 82.86 on a carcass basis, and the Eastern direct trade is .08 lower at 80.58. Missouri direct base carcass meat price has the barrows and gilts steady from 75.00 to 79.00. Terminal hogs are steady to 1.00 higher from 55.00 to 60.00 live basis.

Pork processing margins are ending the month of November in decent shape. The spread between the pork carcass value and the average Iowa dressed averaged more than $7.00. Plenty of incentive here to fund aggressive slaughter plans.

UN report details concerns for water and land resources

The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) released a report today that states widespread degradation and increased scarcity of land and water resources has placed an increased risk on key food production systems around the globe.  The FAO says these issues create a greater challenge to feed the world’s growing population.

The State of the World’s Land and Water Resources for Food and Agriculture (SOLAW) says while the last 50 years has seen notable increases in food production, some management practices have degraded the land and water systems that are imperative to food production.

FAO Director-General Jacques Diouf says the SOLAW report highlights the collective impact these pressures have put on environmental integrity and production capacity.  He says the systems at risk may not be able to contribute as expected to meet production needs by 2050.

The SOLAW report says production systems at risk can be found around the globe and no region is immune.

The FAO map can be found HERE.

Export inspections inside estimates

USDA reports export inspections for corn, soybeans, and wheat during the week ending November 24 were within pre-report expectations.

Wheat came out at 15.392 million bushels, up 1.671 million bushels from the week ending November 17 but down 7.033 million from the week ending November 25, 2010. At this point in the 2011/12 marketing year, wheat inspections are 517.884 million bushels, compared to 553.863 million in 2010/11.

Corn was reported at 30.596 million bushels, 7.238 million lower than the previous week and 1.754 million less than a year ago. For the marketing year to date, corn inspections are 353.816 million bushels, compared to 417.394 million this time last year.

Soybeans were pegged at 41.406 million bushels, an increase of 535,000 from the week before but a decrease of 22.173 million from last year. So far this marketing year, soybean inspections are 396.175 million bushels, compared to 590.631 million a year ago.

Sorghum inspections totaled 815,000 bushels. That’s 155,000 bushels below the prior week but 642,000 above a year ago. 2011/12 sorghum inspections are 22.041 million bushels, compared to 35.641 million in 2010/11.

Steiger 600 tractor increases efficiency, productivity, comfort

According to Mitch Kaiser, marketing manager for Case IH Steiger Tractors, the new line of Steiger 600 tractors delivers the total tractor solution—improved operator comfort, efficient power and increased traction with less compaction.  We visited with Kaiser at NAFB Trade Talk in Kansas City.

AUDIO: Mitch Kaiser (4:35 MP3)

 

Horse slaughter debate renewed with new law

Now that domestic horse slaughter is closer to being restored in the U.S., the debate about it has resurged. There is strong support for restoring it among those in the horse world and in agriculture. Animal rights groups are strongly against it.

Sue Wallis, co-leader of United Horsemen which pushed for the return of horse processing says horses are not caused inhumane suffering in the kill process as opponents claim.

The Humane Society of the United States (HSUS) has not returned Brownfield’s request for comment.

AUDIO: Sue Wallis (3:00 mp3)

Hogs shrug off outsides, focus on demand

Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle futures were lower Friday, seeing pressure from the outside markets, along with general demand concerns. Also, we’re heading towards another set of holidays with comparatively greater demand for pork and poultry. December was down $.30 at $121.10 and February was $.45 lower at $122.30.

Feeder cattle were lower on outside market pressure and demand concerns. January was $1.17 lower at $144.62 and March was down $.77 at $1470.45.

After the aggressive cattle trade Wednesday, trade was wrapped up for the week with most buyers and sellers pretty content to take a long weekend. Wednesday’s trade was mainly up $1 to $3 on the week for the Live basis and $4 higher for the Dressed. According to DTN, trade in Texas was 15,647 head with the weighted average at $124, with Kansas at 36,640 head with the weighted average at $123.33, while Colorado traded 9,386 head at $126.85, Iowa sold 37,480 head averaging $200.31, and Nebraska traded 51,670 head at $200.03.

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Grains, oilseeds continue sell-off

Soybeans were lower on technical and fund selling, along with spillover from the outside markets. Crude oil was higher, but the dollar was up and the Dow and gold were lower. Weekly export sales and shipments were both good but neither had any real impact as traders remain very concerned about debt issues. Soybean meal was mixed, nearly steady in consolidation trade, while bean oil was down sharply on demand concerns. China’s Ministry of Commerce sees Beijing’s soybean imports for November at 5.63 million tons, that’d be up 48% on the month and about 3% on the year, and pegs December at 4.175 million tons.

Corn was lower on fund and technical selling, in addition to the outside market pressure. There was no fresh news for corn either, but contracts did see at least some buying interest around key support points. Past that – weekly export sales were at the low end of estimates and shipments were solid. Ethanol futures were lower. According to Ukraine’s Ag Ministry, 92% of the corn crop is harvested at 20.4 million tons with yield considerably better than 2010. The International Grains Council pegs 2011/12 world corn production at 853.1 million tons, up 3.2% on the year, with the U.S. total at 313 million and South America producing 87 million tons.

The wheat complex was lower on fund and technical selling, in addition to spillover from the outside markets. The supply and demand fundamentals remain bearish, especially on the global supply side of the ledger. Weekly export sales were larger than expected but shipments remain slow. European wheat was modestly higher in thin trade. According to Dow Jones Newswires, Argentina will release another 1.4 million tons worth of 2010/11 wheat export permits next week, along with 3 million tons of recently harvested 2011/12 wheat. Ukraine’s Ag Ministry reports 98% of the total grain crop is harvested at 55.99 million tons with USDA’s ag attaché in Kiev adding cold, dry conditions could damage a significant portion of the winter planted crops.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: November 25, 2011

Dec. corn closed at $5.82 and 1/2, down 6 and 1/4 cents
Jan. soybeans closed at $11.06 and 1/2, down 16 cents
Dec. soybean meal closed at $282.70, up 20 cents
Dec. soybean oil closed at 48.23, down 109 points
Dec. wheat closed at $5.74 and 1/2, down 4 and 3/4 cents
Dec. live cattle closed at $121.10, down 30 cents
Dec. lean hogs closed at $88.30, up 25 cents
Jan. crude oil closed at $96.77, up 60 cents
Mar. cotton closed at 92.45, up 154 points
Dec. Class III milk closed at $18.13, down 19 cents
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 11,231.78, down 25.77 points

Wisconsin Christmas tree delivered to White House

The day after Thanksgiving was certainly something special for Sue and Tom Schroeder of Neshkoro, Wisconsin, they delivered a Christmas tree to the White House. First Lady Michelle and daughters Malia and Sasha Obama greeted the Schroeders and the 19-foot Balsam fir. Schroeder’s Forevergreens won the annual competition conducted by the National Christmas Tree Association to determine whose tree will get the honor of being the official White House tree. The tree, hand-picked by White House and National Park Service officials, will be set up in the Blue Room of the mansion.

The White House also recognized the Schroeder’s as one of approximately 800 Christmas tree farms and lots nationwide that donate Christmas trees to the Christmas SPIRIT Foundations’ Trees for Troops program. Trees for Troops has provided 84,000 full-sized farm-grown Christmas trees to troops and military families since it began in 2005 and this year’s goal is to deliver their 100,000th tree.

Pictures of the Schroeders and the tree available here:

Fonterra wants to double sales to China

New Zealand’s Fonterra Cooperative says it wants to double sales to China by 2020. Fonterra is already the world’s largest dairy exporter with about 40 percent of the market. During a recent trip to China, CEO Theo Spierings noted the Chinese market for dairy will increase an average 10 percent per year over the next few years while the Chinese dairy industry is still under the shadow of the melamine-contamination scandal of 2008. As a result, foreign dairy products enjoy the perception of better quality in China.

China’s dairy industry is expanding but is not expected to be able to meet the increase in demand. Bloomberg reports New Zealand milk product exports to China were 353 million kilograms (778 million pounds) last year, a five-fold increase since 2008.

Global milk consumption is predicted to increase by 30 percent over the next decade driven by expanding middle classes in China and India.