Friday 27th January 2012

Alabama storms hit poultry hard

Wednesday night’s series of tornados and severe storms did substantial damage to the poultry industry in Alabama. Early estimates are 200 poultry houses were destroyed another 180 were damaged and the Alabama Poultry and Egg Association estimates 5 million chickens probably died in the storms. More could be lost in the coming days if electricity and water supplies are not restored. Processing plants are also without power.

Alabama is the nation’s number-3 poultry producer behind Arkansas and Georgia.

USTR not giving up on Doha

U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk said in a speech on Thursday he does not think it is time to give up on the Doha Round of world trade talks. On Wednesday, WTO Director General Paschal Lamy said it was time to consider a scaled-down version of the talks but Kirk believes something can still be worked out on the total package. Kirk says in the coming weeks, he thinks there will be an opportunity “to sit down with our partners and see if we can’t come up with a way forward.” He again called on China, India and Brazil to change their offer, earlier this week India’s Minister of Commerce said his country has gone as far as it can go.

Former U.S. Trade Representative Susan Schwab tells Reuters the Doha talks are doomed and countries should salvage whatever smaller agreements they can from the talks.

The WTO negotiating committee meets in Geneva on Friday and many expect an announcement as to the future of the Round.

EPA issues Clean Water Act guidance

The EPA released the draft guidance for the Clean Water Act on Wednesday. The document would serve as a guideline for the EPA, USDA and Army Corps of Engineers in determining which waterways fall under the federal Clean Water Act. The draft is an effort to clarify the jurisdiction in light of a pair of Supreme Court decisions over the past decade.

The new guidance says that small streams are protected by the act if they have a “physical, chemical or biological connection” to larger bodies of water downstream, and could affect the integrity of those downstream waters. “Agencies would be able to evaluate groups of waters holistically rather than the current, piecemeal, stream-by-stream analysis,” the EPA said.

The agency indicated that it intends to expand the definition of “traditional navigable waters”, saying the term may apply under a wider range of circumstances than in previous guidance. This would make more water bodies subject to Clean Water Act protections.

The act will also apply to non-navigable tributaries to traditional navigable waters if the tributaries are relatively permanent, meaning they contain water at least seasonally. Wetlands adjacent to either interstate waters or traditional navigable waters would also be covered, along with wetlands that directly abut relatively permanent waters.

EPA says the rule also clarifies that interstate waters are also protected by the act. Waters that are not regulated by the act include artificial lakes and ponds, many agricultural and roadside ditches, and certain artificially irrigated areas, the EPA said.

NCGA President Bart Schott says “While the guidance maintains existing exemptions for normal farming and ranching activities, NCGA remains concerned that the new proposal could expand EPA’s authority over isolated waters including ditches and farm ponds,”

The plan is now open for a 60-day comment period.

Bruins appointed to Wisconsin DNR board

Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has appointed three new members to the Natural Resources Board including Wisconsin Farm Bureau president, Bill Bruins of Waupun. Also appointed were Gregory Kazmierski, Mukwonago, co-founder of the Wisconsin Hunters Rights Coalition and Shawano realtor Terry Hilgenberg. The will serve six-year terms.

The three replace Board Chair Jonathan Ela, a conservationist and retired Sierra Club official; former State Agriculture Secretary; and former Dean of the UW-River Falls College of Agriculture Gary Rhode and Eau Claire Attorney John Welter whose terms expire on May 1st.

NCBA: EPA’s ‘vast overreach’ continues

The chief environmental counsel for the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association says the EPA’s proposed clean water guidelines could have a “devastating impact” on America’s farmers and ranchers.

Tamara Thies accuses the EPA and the Army Corps of Engineers of making “an end run” around two Supreme Court decisions that limited their authority under the Clean Water Act.

“It’s a huge concern, of course, for farmers and ranchers, since we have puddles of water and different types of water on our properties that are not necessarily ‘navigable’—which is what the standard is under the law for EPA regulations,” Thies says, “but the EPA has figured out a way to require their staff throughout the country to regulate virtually every drop.”

Thies says the clean water guidelines—and the EPA’s moves to tighten dust regulations—are two more examples of what she calls “the Administration’s vast overreach”.

“I don’t know what the plan is over there, but I’ll tell you, these rules that the EPA and the Corps came out with are just devastating for agriculture,” she says, “and if we can’t work with water, or dusty situations, we do they expect us to do.”

AUDIO: Tamara Thies (6 min MP3)

Also expressing concern with the clean water guidelines is the National Corn Growers Association.  NCGA president Bart Schott says they’re concerned that the new proposal could expand EPA’s authority over isolated waters including ditches and farm ponds. He says they could lead to additional permitting requirements and make farmers more vulnerable to citizen action lawsuits.

Weather sends corn, soybeans and wheat sharply lower

Soybeans were sharply lower on technical and fund selling, along with spillover from corn and wheat. The trade expects a record South American crop and there’s talk that there’ll be at least some increase in U.S. acreage due to corn planting delays. Demand has slowed down, reflected in the weekly export sales and shipments from Thursday and the export inspections from Monday. First notice day for May contracts is Friday with meal and beans expected to be light and oil possibly heavy. Soybean meal and oil futures were lower on spillover from beans. Dow Jones Newswires reports Argentina’s government has again raided some grain exporters on tax evasion charges.

Corn was sharply lower with some months limit down on fund and technical selling. There’s at least some short term improvement in the weather for key growing areas of the Cornbelt, and weekly export sales and shipments were solid, potentially a sign that demand has been adequately rationed. Still, planting is quite a bit behind average and weather will need to improve over a longer timeline for some parts of the region to catch up. Ethanol futures were lower. First notice day deliveries on May corn are seen as light.

The wheat complex was sharply lower on technical and fund selling, in addition to spillover from corn. Wheat’s also got an eye on the weather following rainfall in dry areas of the Southern Plains. That said – it’s too little too late for some of the hard red winter crop and spring wheat planting remains much slower than average. First notice day deliveries on the CBOT May contract may be heavy. European wheat was lower with French milling wheat leading the way down on improved U.S. and European weather. In terms of global weather trouble spots, the North China Plain is expected to stay hot and dry over the next 6 to 10 days. Saskatchewan Agriculture adds farmers in that province are still “as least” two weeks away from spring planting because of wet, cold conditions. Japan bought 336,518 tons of food wheat. According to Dow Jones Newswires, Ukraine’s Ag Ministry pegs 2011/12 grain exports at 19 million to 20 million tons and USDA’s European attaché projects record low 2010/11 E.U. wheat ending stocks.

Iowa hogs are heavier than last year

The feedlot trade appears to be completed for the week. Asking prices for cattle left on the show lists are around 118.00 in the South and 188.00 in the North. On the other hand, feedlot managers would probably respond to decent basis opportunities if packers are willing to bid accordingly. However, cattle buyers seem defensive, no doubt troubled by eroding beef cutouts and unattractive processing margins. It looks like the chain speed could be slower on Friday and Saturday. Thursday’s cattle slaughter was estimated at 128,000 head, 2,000 less than last week, but the same as 2010.

Boxed beef cutout values were weak to lower on fairly good demand and heavy offerings. Choice boxed beef was down .59 at 184.14, and select was down 1.71 at 177.90.

Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle contracts closed lower on softer boxed beef values and continued concerns about domestic and foreign demand for beef. Sharply lower corn prices also weighed on the live issues.  April was down .12 at 117.15, and June was .37 lower at 113.17.

Feeder cattle ended the session 95 to 127 points higher on the sharp losses in the corn market, this was especially evident in the front months. Volume was extremely light throughout the complex. May settled .97 higher at 131.37, and August was 1.27 higher at 136.12.

Feeder cattle receipts at the Hub City Livestock Auction at Aberdeen, SD totaled 3739 head on Wednesday. There was a limited comparison with last week’s lower volume sale. Lighter feeder cattle sold mostly steady while heavier feeder steers and heifers sold with definite lower undertones. 900 lb steers sold 4.00 lower. Soft ground continues to be an issue as one of the consignors was unable to make delivery. It was an active market with good demand. 484 steers medium and large 1 averaging 873 pounds traded at 127.75. 111 replacement heifers averaging 828 pounds brought 125.34 per hundredweight.

Lean hogs settled 20 to 105 points in the red on the lack of support in the pork cutout values. Lower cash prices and poor pork demand concerns also weighed on futures. May settled at 96.80 down .95 and hit a six week low. June was .20 lower at 96.50.

Barrows and gilts in the Iowa/Minnesota direct trade closed 1.50 lower at 90.28, the West was down 1.64 at 89.68, and the East is .34 lower at 90.99. Missouri direct base carcass meat price was steady from 85.00 to 86.00. Hog slaughter was estimated at 413,000 head, 2,000 more than last week, and 11,000 greater than last year.

Pork trading was slow to moderate with mostly light demand and moderate offerings. Pork carcass cutout value was down .68 at 91.76.

Although Iowa barrows and gilts weighed a bit heavier last week at  272.9 pounds, .7 pound greater than the previous week and 3 pounds bigger than 2010, the new flat structure of the lean hog board, together with still rising feed bills, will no doubt encourage pork producers to sweep finishing floors more and more aggressively. Spring/summer tonnage is likely to be limited by both fewer numbers and light carcasses.

Fusarium Head Blight could be a problem

Depending on the stage of development, Carl Bradley, extension plant pathologist at the University of Illinois says Fusarium head blight has the potential of becoming a big problem for wheat growers.

“Wheat fields are susceptible to this disease when they begin flowering,” said Bradley. “So right now if we look at southern Illinois we probably have a few fields down there that be just getting ready to flower, we kind of right on the borderline, and if this weather keeps up, the rainy weather, constant rain, those are great conditions for the fungus that causes Fusarium head blight.”

Bradley says there are products available to suppress the disease, but timing of the application is critical.

“The best timing is try to apply it is when the head is out and you’re just starting to see anthers coming out from the middle part of the head,” Bradley said. “If you can hit right at that time that would be the very best timing to go for.”

Because timing is so critical, the University of Illinois Extension plant pathologist says there is an online risk assessment tool available to help growers monitor the situation.

Audio: Carl Bradley, University of Illinois (4:45 MP3)

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: April 28, 2011

May corn closed at $7.23, down 29 and 1/4 cents
May soybeans closed at $13.50 and 1/4, down 27 and 3/4 cents
May soybean meal closed at $348.70, down $8.00
May soybean oil closed at 56.43, down 143 points
May wheat closed at $7.43, down 34 cents
April live cattle closed at $117.15, down 12 cents
May lean hogs closed at $96.80, down 95 cents
May crude oil closed at $112.86, up 10 cents
May cotton closed at 172.82, down 207 points
May Class III milk closed at $16.27, down 21 cents
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 12,763.31, up 72.35 points

Wildlife group sues EPA over RFS

The National Wildlife Federation (NWF) is suing the EPA over the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS)—action that the wildlife group calls “a bid to protect America’s vanishing grasslands.”

The NWF lawsuit argues that the EPA is “ignoring laws to protect the fragile ecosystem from harmful and unnecessary agricultural production.”  It claims the RFS actually encourages ag producers to destroy grasslands for biofuels production.

In the words of Julie Sibbing, director of agriculture programs for the NWF, “Plowing up our nation’s last remnants of native grasslands to grow more corn for ethanol is like burning the Mona Lisa for firewood.”