Friday 27th January 2012

Soybeans and corn up ahead of Wednesday’s USDA reports

Soybeans were higher on speculative and technical buying, along with spillover from the outside markets. The dollar was lower while the Dow, gold and crude oil were higher. Even with fundamentals turning bearish, soybeans continue to see solid commercial demand. Also, the port worker strike in Argentina is dragging into its second week, so there could be at least some short term uptick in demand for U.S. soybeans and products. Still, that’d be only temporary and outside of continued rainfall delaying harvest in Brazil, prospects for South America’s soybean crop are generally very good. Soybean meal and oil were higher on spillover from soybeans.

Corn was higher on short covering and technical buying, in addition to spillover from beans and the outside markets. Contracts are basically getting ready for Wednesday’s expected to be bearish USDA numbers. Weather’s mixed, generally good this week, but cooler and wetter next week at least in many areas of the Cornbelt. In any event, it’ll probably be hard for corn to post more gains Tuesday due to that expected bearish set of USDA numbers. The trade sees quarterly stocks as large and expects at least some year to year increase in planted acreage. Weekly national USDA crop progress numbers start April 5.

The wheat complex ended narrowly mixed, mostly lower, on consolidation, profit taking and a lack of follow through buying interest after early modestly higher activity. Contracts were due for a bounce after setting new contract lows twice last week. However, fundamentals remain extremely negative with a large supply and not much new demand for U.S. wheat, pushing May contracts to another new round of contract lows. European wheat was higher on outside market direction; May Paris was up 1% and May London was 1.1% higher.

Researcher tackles nuisance farm odor

For many, it’s a foregone conclusion that CAFO’s—concentrated animal feeding operations—will face stricter regulations on odor and gas emissions in the future.  That’s why Iowa State University agricultural and biosystems engineering professor Steve Hoff is researching potential solutions to the problem now.

For example, Hoff has developed a system that would operate odor mitigation systems only when the weather is most likely to cause the odors to become a nuisance to neighbors.

“If weather patterns are such that a neighbor may not be subjected to an odor, then the idea is to turn off odor mitigation strategies,” Hoff says. “On the other hand, if in fact the weather conditions are such that a neighbor might be impacted by an odor from a facility, then we’ll go ahead and initiate mitigation.”

The system is a miniature weather station that includes locations of neighbors as part of its programming.  Hoff says atmospheric stability determines how far odors will travel and whether a neighbor may be impacted because of atmospheric conditions, including wind speed and direction.  Hoff’s research shows the percentage of time that odors actually affect neighbors is very small.

“The logic is, why force mitigation for all of the ventilation air all of the time, if in fact our neighbors will not be impacted,” Hoff says.

And Hoff says while this system is not geared to reducing gas emissions, it could be a side benefit. “For example, we’ve tested this system on a bio-filter odor mitigation method,” he says, “and bio-filters also have the added benefit that we scrub some of the gases like ammonia and hydrogen sulfide, that we know the EPA is interested in, in terms of regulation in the animal industry.”

Hoff says the system will save producers money by significantly reducing the time that odor mitigation systems are running, while also minimizing the odor production of animal production.

AUDIO: Steve Hoff (6 min MP3)

Link to Iowa State University news release

Cattle and hog contracts end with triple digit gains

Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle contracts settled 40 to 155 points higher on the strong gains in the outside markets and the limit up moves in the lean hog pit. Confidence in this week’s cash trade was also supportive.  April settled 1.35 higher at 95.37, and June finished 1.32 higher at 92.90.

Feeder cattle ended the session 52 to 175 points higher on the sharply higher trade in the lean hog and live cattle pits. April settled   1.17 higher at 108.37, and May was up 1.75 at 109.90.

Cattle country was typically quiet on Monday following the distribution of the new show lists. Ready numbers are generally smaller than last week, especially in Kansas. Asking prices are around 97.00 to 98.00 in the South and 157.00 to 158.00 in the North on a dressed basis. Monday’s cattle slaughter was estimated at 126,000 head, 5,000 more than last week, and 3,000 greater than a year ago. Boxed beef cutout values were higher on choice and steady on the select, with light demand and offerings. Choice boxed beef was up 1.00 at 163.69, and select was .18 higher at 160.51.

Feeder cattle receipts at the Oklahoma National Stockyards totaled 11,300 head on Monday.  Feeder steers traded steady at midsession, feeder heifers were 2.00 to 3.00 higher. Stocker steers and steer calves were 3.00 to 5.00 higher. Stocker heifers were steady to 2.00 higher. Demand was moderate to good with extremely good demand for cattle that are suitable for grass. Feeder steers medium and large 1 weighing 550 to 600 pounds traded from 121.75 to 130.50. Heifers weighing 500 to 600 pounds brought 107.00 to 113.75.

Barrows and gilts in the Iowa/Minnesota direct trade closed .12 lower at 66.08 on a carcass basis, the West ended .17 lower at 65.90, and the East closed 1.50 lower at 64.54.Missouri direct base carcass meat price closed steady to 1.00 higher from 62.00 to 63.00. Hog slaughter was estimated at 430,000 head, 5000 greater than last week and 12,000 greater than last year. The cash hog trade may continue to struggle thanks to adequate nearby supplies and sluggish pork demand. Tuesday’s market is expected to be steady to weak.

Lean hogs settled sharply higher with limit gains in several months on Friday’s bullish quarterly hogs and pigs report. The report confirmed that swine liquidation through the first quarter of 2010 was significantly greater than most traders and analysts assumed. The breeding herd totaled four-percent smaller than 2009, traded guesses predicted two-percent lower. April settled 2.20 higher at 71.87, and June was up 3.00 at 81.02. Pork trading was slow to moderate with light to moderate demand and mostly moderate offerings. Pork carcass cutout value was up 1.18 at 71.94.

Pork bellies also saw limit gains on spillover support from the lean pit. May ended at 96.70 up 3.00 and July was also up the limit at 100.00.

Iowa ag secretary begins trade mission

Iowa Secretary of Agriculture Bill Northey left today on a trade mission to South Korea and Japan.

Northey is joined by officials of several Iowa ag groups, including pork, beef, corn and soybean producers.  The group will be in South Korea this week before moving on to Japan next week. 

In Japan, they will join up with U.S. Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack for meetings with Japanese officials.  Pressure has been mounting on the USDA to address lingering beef export issues with the Japanese.  Northey agrees it’s an issue that needs to be discussed.

“We really need to,” says Northey. “Back in the early 2000’s—2002, 2003—we sold over a billion dollars worth of beef.  We are not back to those levels yet, although the last few years, those numbers have started to go up—and they certainly should go up faster than they have been going.”

But Northey says it’s a fine line on just how much pressure can and should be applied on the beef issue, considering that Japan is already the number one market for U.S. pork and a top customer for many other U.S. ag products.

AUDIO: Bill Northey (4:30 mp3)

Link to Iowa Department of Agriculture news release

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: March 29, 2010

May corn closed at $3.57, up 3/4 cent
May soybeans closed at $9.67 and 1/2, up 15 and 1/2 cents
May soybean meal closed at $276.90, up $6.00
May soybean oil closed at 39.27, up 32 points
May wheat closed at $4.64 and 3/4, unchanged
April live cattle closed at $95.37, up $1.35
April lean hogs closed at $71.87, up $2.20
May crude oil closed at $82.17, up $2.17
May cotton closed at 80.43, up 74 points
April Class III milk closed at $12.59, down 3 cents
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 10,895.86, up 45.50 points

‘Reduction and refund’ part of new climate push

The architects of new compromise climate legislation in the Senate are ditching the “cap and trade” label for addressing greenhouse gas emissions. It’s now being called “reduction and refund.”

The three Senators working on the measure—John Kerry, Lindsey Graham and Joe Lieberman—say the new approach would address emissions by the utilities, manufacturing and transportation sectors differently, rather than capping nationwide emissions and allowing emitters to trade allowances.  So far, no specifics on where agriculture fits into the new plan.

The senators reportedly plan to release their new climate change bill next month.

Animal care standards bill advances in Kentucky

A bill to create a Livestock Care Standards Commission in Kentucky has been passed by the Kentucky House and could soon be headed to the governor for his signature.

The legislation—which is backed by Kentucky Farm Bureau—is designed to limit groups such as the Humane Society of the United States from trying to get tougher livestock care rules implemented in the state.  If approved, the new commission could recommend on-farm animal care regulations to an existing state agriculture board, which could adopt them.

Western states face potential grasshopper problem

Several Western and Plains states may be facing their most severe grasshopper outbreaks in 25 years.

Federal officials say that, over the coming weeks—in parts of Nebraska, Wyoming, Montana, Idaho and the Dakotas—grasshoppers will likely hatch in bigger numbers than any year since 1985. 

Cool, wet weather during the hatch period of May and June would help stifle the populations.  But officials aren’t waiting around—they’re already working to line up the millions of dollars it will cost to battle an outbreak with aerial insecticide.

Indiana hog inventory up 1 percent

While the total hogs and pigs inventory nationwide was down 3 percent from a year ago, the inventory in Indiana was 1 percent higher at 3.6 million. Market hogs totaled 3.31 million head, 1 percent higher and the breeding herd was up 7 percent at 290,000 head.

Risk management workshop

A risk management workshop to help grain and livestock farmers learn ways to balance risk in their farming operations is going to be held April 7 at the Beef House Restaurant in Covington, Indiana.

“This workshop features well-respected risk-management experts who will provide a holistic view of the market landscape and describe how to get ahead of it,” said Leah Beyer, ISA/ICGA Livestock Director. “The day will start out with a broad overview of the world marketplace but will quickly focus on the different methods grain and livestock farmers can use to manage risks and optimize profitability.”

The deadline to register is Thursday, April 1.