Friday 27th January 2012

Live and feeder cattle close sharply higher on short covering: June 29, 2009

Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle contracts settled 100 to 300 points higher on a flurry of technical buying, short covering and the triggering of buy stops. Contracts moved above 100 day moving averages, spooking non-commercials to cover shorts according to DTN.  June finished 2.15 higher at 84.62, and August was up the 3.00 limit at 85.40. Boxed beef cutout values were firm on moderate demand and offerings. Choice beef ended .60 higher at 139.53, select was up .85 at 133.15

Feeder cattle closed sharply higher following the lead of the live pit and buy stops. This surge in futures prices may help to spur additional buying activity in the cash markets through the holiday shortened week. August settled at 101.72 up 2.75, and August was up 2.72 at 101.70.

Feeder cattle receipts at the Oklahoma National Stockyards totaled 11,500 head on Monday. Feeder steers and heifers were steady to 2.00 higher at midsession. Demand was very good for feeders. Steer and heifer calves were steady to 2.00 higher in a light test. Feeder steers medium and large 1, 700 to 750 pounds traded from 100.00 to 104.00, the same weight heifers from 94.75 to 97.50 per hundredweight.

Cattle slaughter on Monday was estimated at 130,000 head, the same as last week and last year. Formula totals for last week were smaller in Kansas and Texas, but a bit larger in Nebraska. Total trade volume totals turned out to be larger in Kansas, but smaller in Nebraska and Texas. The new show lists appear to be larger in all states except Nebraska. Early asking prices are around 84 to 85 in the South, and 133 to 135 in the North.

Monday’s hog slaughter was estimated at 408, 000 head, 7,000 more than last week, but 17,000 less than last year. Barrows and gilts at the terminals were steady to a dollar lower in a light Monday test from 33.50 to 41.00. The Missouri direct base carcass meat price closed steady from 49.00 to 53.00. Iowa/Minnesota hogs closed .23 higher at 57.27 on a carcass basis, the West was up .01 at 57.29, and the East was .73 lower closing at 54.41. Last week’s hog slaughter was five-percent smaller than last year and the smallest non holiday kill since August of 2007. Such a cutback coupled with the holiday production ahead could work to give carcass value a shot in the arm. Tuesday’s market looks to be steady to weak.

Lean hogs settled 132 points higher to 65 lower. The front months staged a rally but the deferred issues ended lower. The overall fundamentals of the market remain weak with overall pork demand sluggish at best heading into the holiday weekend. The quarterly hogs and pigs report was pretty much ignored as numbers came in much as expected.  July ended 1.32 higher at 58.02, and August was up .92 at 58.62. Pork trading was slow with light demand and mostly moderate offerings. Pork carcass cutout was up .49 at 55.77.

Pork bellies closed 150 to 300 points lower. The market continues to show bearish tendencies and traders appear to be hesitant to step in at the present time. July bellies ended at 56.00 down 2.40, and August was down 2.20 at 57.45.

Key USDA positions filled in Nebraska

A former Nebraska lieutenant governor and the current acting director of the Nebraska Farm Service Agency have been appointed to fill key USDA positions in Nebraska.

Maxine Moul, who served as lieutenant governor from 1990 to 1993, is the new USDA Rural Development Director for Nebraska.  And Dan Steinkruger, who has worked in various capacities with the USDA in Nebraska since 1977, has been named director of the Nebraska FSA.

Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: June 29, 2009

July corn closed at $3.77, down 7 and 1/4 cents
July soybeans closed at $12.15, up 14 cents
July soybean meal closed at $411.40, up $6.40
July soybean oil closed at 35.78, down 30 points
July wheat closed at $5.28 and 1/2, down 5 and 3/4 cents
June live cattle closed at $84.62, up $2.15
July lean hogs closed at $58.02, up $1.32
August crude oil closed at $71.49, up $2.33
July cotton closed at 52.86, up 32 points
Dow Jones Industrial Average: 8,529.38, up 90.99 points

South Carolina latest to join MarketMaker

South Carolina’s agriculture and seafood markets can reach a whole array of new markets and consumers through the MarketMaker website. Recently, South Carolina and Colorado became the 11th and 12th states to join the online network on the National Food MarketMaker website. Washington, DC also recently joined. Started by the University of Illinois, the MarketMaker online network was created to help consumers find locally grown fresh produce as well as allowing farmers to interact. There is no charge for a business to be listed on the site or to search it for information.

South Carolina Market Maker

National Market Maker Map

Climate change bill alters ‘indirect land use’ rule

The American Clean Energy and Security Act-the climate change bill passed by the House-includes language that would alter the “indirect land use change” penalty provisions of the 2007 energy law.  In a nutshell, it exempts ethanol from indirect-land-use analysis for five years and subjects the theory to further study.

Tom Buis is the CEO of the ethanol advocacy group Growth Energy.  “The precedence is so dangerous for American agriculture,” Buis says, “to say you’re going to make your farming decisions and you’re going to make your energy decisions based on how other countries farm or utilize land use changes, not based upon what’s best for this country.”

Buis is hopeful the indirect land use change language will be included in the Senate version of the bill.  But he says Growth Energy will continue to seek other legislative vehicles to remove the provision.

“We’re not just going to sit back and count on one strategy or another,” says Buis. “We’re going to pursue all of them.  The appropriations process could be an avenue that might be pursuable.  Chairman Peterson has long talked about just moving stand-alone legislation and we’d love to get behind that.”

And if the indirect land use change rule is not ultimately removed by Congress?  “I think it threatens the production of ethanol and biodiesel, and how we farm in America,” Buis says.

Buis expects the Senate to work on health insurance before tackling climate change legislation.

News conference-Tom Buis comments (7 min MP3)

Graham predicts climate change won’t pass Senate

South Carolina’s Lindsey Graham was among leading Republican Senators Sunday who criticized the House-passage of the climate change bill, “If that’s a victory, I don’t know what losing would be. You lost 40-something Democrats. The process was not changed. The process was beating people up to make them vote for something they really didn’t want to vote for.”Graham, on NBC’s Meet The Press, did not deny something needs to be done about climate change, “This idea of climate change is real, in my opinion. And the way you solve the problem is not some major tax on industry and the private sector. You join forces with energy independence groups and climate change groups to get a bipartisan bill.”

Graham says Democrats will defect in the Senate as well, ”The problem is, ‘red state’ Democrats are bailing out on the president’s agenda faster than Republicans.”

Producers urged to learn more about ACRE

The Nebraska Corn Board is encouraging corn producers to get the facts on ACRE-the Average Crop Revenue Election program. 

Corn Board executive director Don Hutchens says, to date, less than 200 Nebraska farmers have signed up for the ACRE program. 

“What we’re doing, along with University of Nebraska Extension, the Farm Service Agency and the National Corn Growers, is just encouraging producers to seek information, get the best information out there possible, and compare it to how it fits into their farming operation,” says Hutchens. 

To help producers make an informed decision, Hutchens says the National Corn Growers Association is supporting a free DTN webinar. The hour-long webinar happens this Wednesday, July 1st at 8:00 a.m.  Producers are encouraged to register by going to the NCGA web site and clicking on the ACRE icon. 

The ACRE sign-up deadline is August 14th.

 Don Hutchens (4 min MP3)

NE Farm Bureau disappointed in climate change bill

The president of the Nebraska Farm Bureau is disappointed with House passage of climate change legislation.

Keith Olsen says the House bill would result in greatly increased energy costs for farmers and ranchers.  He says it would be especially hard on Nebraska’s producers, who depend upon irrigation in the production of everything from corn to alfalfa.

As the U.S. Senate considers the legislation, Olsen hopes that the needs of agriculture will be more fully addressed.

Grassley discusses climate change concerns

The climate change bill passed by the House was a major topic of discussion on the Sunday morning talk shows. 

Appearing on ABC’s This Week program, Iowa Senator Charles Grassley expressed concern that the legislation could drive even more jobs overseas.

“So what we have to do is make sure China, the number one emitter of CO2-not the United States, China is, and India right along with them-we’ve got to have an international agreement so that we have a level playing field for American manufacturing so we don’t outsource any more jobs,” said Grassley.

Grassley says if the U.S. acts alone on climate change, it won’t have much impact, “because if the United States moves ahead by itself, we’re not only going to lose those jobs, but the point is, after 30 or 40 years, we’re going to reduce CO2 by less than one percent.  So we have got to do it on an international basis.”

Grassley says the people that have been complaining for ten years about the outsourcing of manufacturing jobs to China are the very same ones pushing cap and trade.

A poor week for grain and oilseed inspections

It was a fairly bearish week for grain and oilseed export inspections. According to the USDA, soybean export inspections for the week ending June 25 were within expectations but less than what’s needed weekly to meet the USDA estimates for the current marketing year, while corn and wheat were below pre-report projections.

Wheat came out at 10.126 million bushels, down 3.402 million from the week ending June 18 and 7.815 million lower than the week ending June 26, 2008. At this point in the 2009/10 marketing year, wheat inspections are 49.025 million bushels, compared to 68.716 million early in 2008/09.

Corn was reported at 27.667 million bushels, 14.935 million below the previous week and 15.381 million less than a year ago. For the 2008/09 marketing year to date, corn inspections are 1.382 billion bushels, compared to 1.999 billion at this point in 2007/08.

Soybeans totaled 12.934 million bushels, 2.386 million under the prior week and down 7.332 million from last year. So far this marketing year, soybean inspections are 1.130 billion bushels, compared to 1.026 billion a year ago.

Sorghum was pegged at 1.256 million bushels, up 388,000 from the week before and 754,000 higher than a year ago. 2008/09 sorghum inspections are 117.256 million bushels, compared to 249.176 million in 2007/08.